Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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Spot Forecast for Pine Creek RX Unit I & J...Wayne National Forest
National Weather Service Charleston WV
824 AM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
After a chilly morning, high pressure brings quiet weather and mild
temperatures today. Temperatures trend even warmer late in the week.

Today, mild temperatures and cool dewpoints will allow for relative
humidity to drop into the low to mid 20s during the afternoon hours.
Winds will be light from the southeast this afternoon.

A system moves into the region on Saturday with likely rain and
thunderstorms along with possible severe weather. Chances of rain
and thunderstorms will be possible for Sunday, although not as
prominent as expected on Saturday, as a frontal passage takes place
into Monday.

Another system quickly moves into the region later on Monday with a
frontal passage on Tuesday morning. This system will keep rain and
thunderstorm chances on the table for the area, however high
pressure will then build in and likely give us a break through
midweek.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................22 to 26.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  24  33  43  46  65  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  58  61  64  65  66  66
RH..............45  38  33  29  28  27  28
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.4 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   5   5
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............22  25  24  26  26  22  22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
CWR.................8 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after 3
                    am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................1 to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  85  90  83  85  79  68  49  46  27  32  25
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  64  62  59  58  56  55  55  55  55  54  55
RH..............30  33  39  41  43  45  48  48  48  50  50  52
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   10  10  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   2   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 12 mph increasing to southwest 26 to
                    28 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 111 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  30  20  26  14  8   16  20  23  25  26  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  55  56  60  65  70  73  76  78  80  81  81
RH..............52  55  56  52  48  44  40  37  35  33  31  31
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  12  14  17  18  19  19  20  20  20  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.3 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   12  17  23  25  26  26  28  28  26
LVORI...........2   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............6   6   7   19  49  82  89  100 104 111 109 99

$$
Forecaster...ARJ
Requested by...Scottie Kiser
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510732.1/RLX
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scottie.kiser@usda.gov,jason.simms@usda.gov