Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
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FNUS71 KRLX 231337
FWSRLX
Spot Forecast for Convict Hollow...VDOF
National Weather Service Charleston WV
937 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on September 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A frontal boundary sets up shop and will allow for scattered showers and
thunderstorms today, primarily this afternoon. Areas of fog will develop tonight,
staying beneath the ridgetops. Front will serve as the focus for additional
shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday and potentially Wednesday as well.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the morning. Chance of
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms late in the morning.
CWR.................16 percent increasing to 41 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms today.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 8 mph.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................4 to 32.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52 44 42 43 53 67 64 55
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 20 30 40 40 40 30
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 40 50 50 50 50 50
LAL.............2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............68 73 78 80 82 82 82 81
RH..............100 98 86 77 72 71 72 73
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 5 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 8 10 10 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.3 3.3 4.2 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.2 3 5 7 8 8 8 7
LVORI...........8 6 4 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............4 9 15 20 32 32 29 27
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Patchy fog late in the evening.
Areas of fog after 3 am.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2 until 2300, then 1 until
0200, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......dropping to 500 ft AGL overnight
Transport winds.....West 1 to 5 mph shifting to the south 1 to 3
mph in the late evening and overnight.
LVORI...............8.
ADI.................1 to 2.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52 54 69 74 77 80 73 65 58 58 58 58
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH ARS ARS
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF FOG FOG
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
Temp............79 75 70 69 68 68 67 66 66 66 65 65
RH..............79 92 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99 100 100
20 FT wind dir..W W W SW S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 6 7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.W W W SW S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
LVORI...........5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
ADI.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of fog
early in the morning. Showers likely in the
morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
day.
CWR.................14 percent increasing to 82 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1100, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the morning.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 12
to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 82 in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62 66 70 64 60 36 44 56 68 63 59 54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RNF RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 20 40 50 70 70 70 70 80 80 80
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 40 50 60 70 80 80 80 80 80 90
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............65 64 64 66 70 75 79 81 81 82 81 80
RH..............99 97 100 98 100 92 81 74 72 71 73 76
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.8 8 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.2 4.2 4.5 5.7 5.8 4.8 3.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.3 5 5 5 5 6 8 10 12 13 13 12
LVORI...........9 8 9 9 8 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............3 4 4 4 8 16 40 41 37 82 71 47
Haines index....5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...30
Requested by...Logan McGlothlin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422894.0/RLX
.DELDT 09/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.mcglothlin@dof.virginia.gov