264
FXUS61 KRLX 101754
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1254 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold front today. Gusty winds and upslope snow tonight, with
blizzard conditions in high terrain. Clipper Thursday night into
Friday with mainly snow. More snow late Saturday into Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1240 PM Wednesday...

A cold front will move across the area on today. Some rain can
be expected in advance of the front for most areas, while higher
elevations of the West Virginia mountains will see snow. With
the strong winds and snow, will keep the Blizzard Warning for
the higher elevations of the northern West Virginia mountains.
There could be a break from blizzard conditions this afternoon.

Colder air behind the cold front will cause an upslope snow
event from late today into Thursday. This will cause the
blizzard conditions to set back in for the higher elevations of
the West Virgina northern mountains. These conditions should
continue into Thursday morning, when the upslope snow begins to
taper off. The Thursday morning commute could be slick on
untreated roads for much of the region, especially in and just
west of the mountains.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1240 PM Wednesday...

A strong clipper will effect the area Thursday night into
Friday, providing wintry weather. Currently thinking 2 to 4
inches across most of the area. With cold air over the area
Wednesday night and Thursday in advance of this system, expect
the snow to stick quickly to roads. This system has the
potential to create a messy commute for Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1250 PM Wednesday...

Yet another system can be expected for late Saturday into
Sunday. This system should be mainly snow, but could be centered
further north, with the main 2 to 4 inch axis from Parkersburg
to Clarksburg. Much colder air will move in behind this system,
providing upslope snow. Temperatures on Sunday should stay well
below freezing. The cold temperatures combined with the wind
should create wind chills below -10 F in the higher elevations
of the West Virginia mountains. A Wind Chill Advisory may be
needed for Sunday and Sunday night in that area.

A high pressure system will then build across the area for
Monday and Tuesday providing dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1215 PM Wednesday...

A cold front will move across the area today. This will bring
lowering ceilings with rain showers over most of the area and
snow and high winds over the highest elevations of the West
Virginia mountains. Behind the front tonight, rain will turn to
snow area wide with upslope snow continuing over the mountains.
Expect IFR or LIFR conditions in and just west of the mountains
tonight, ranging to MVFR over northeast Kentucky and southeast
Ohio.

Snow will begin to taper off Thursday morning, with conditions
slowly improving.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of deteriorating conditions could
vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04
EST 1HRLY       12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    M    M    H    M    M    H    M    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    L    L    M    M    M    M    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H

AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
IFR conditions are possible areawide Thursday night into Friday,
and again late Saturday into Sunday with snow.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST Thursday for WVZ034-
     515>521-525.
     Blizzard Warning until 10 AM EST Thursday for WVZ522-523-526.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...RPY
NEAR TERM...RPY
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...RPY