609
FNUS75 KRIW 062229
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Long Creek Pile RX...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
329 PM MST Wed Nov 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on November 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Thursday will be dry and sunny. Wind will be light through the
day, favoring out of the south. Smoke dispersal will be poor given
the lighter winds and stable conditions. Friday will be similar
though about 10 degrees warmer.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 35.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1300, then south around 10
                    mph until 1700, then west.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2000 ft AGL by noon.
Transport winds.....Generally north around 7 mph until noon,
then east around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 decreasing to 2 late in the morning.

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............15  24  27  31  32  32  34  32  31  28
RH..............67  68  57  55  61  64  64  72  78  81
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   SW  S   S   SE  SE  S   W
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   2   2   4   5   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.                    6   6   6   6   4
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  W   SW  S   S   SE  SE  S   W
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NW
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   7   7   9   10  9   9   8
Haines index....4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   6   10  12  16  18  14  9   6

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 21.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 2000, then northwest around
                    10 mph until 0100, then light.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............24  23  22  21  21  21  21  21  21  22  23  24
RH..............85  74  74  74  71  71  71  71  74  71  68  71
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.        4   4   4   4   4
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10005   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusts up to 12 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1400, then north around 10
                    mph until 1600, then light.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph until 1000, then east 7 to 8
                    mph until 1600, then north around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............24  25  25  30  35  40  41  42  43  40  38  35
RH..............76  80  80  75  68  61  57  56  57  62  69  76
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.                2   6   6   8   10  10  10  8
Ridge wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   8   8   7   7
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10006   6   6   8   10  13  15  14  17  14  9   5

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Highs in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around 7 mph.
.VETERANS DAY...
Partly cloudy. Snow showers likely. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Myers
Requested by...John Ellington
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425975.0/RIW
.DELDT 11/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.ellington@usda.gov