198
FNUS75 KREV 161320
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Dog Valley RX...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
620 AM PDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Seasonal temperatures are expected today along with relatively
  light breezes and improving ventilation in the afternoon.

* While dry conditions are in the forecast for most of today,
  there is a slight chance (~5-15%) for an isolated
  shower/thunderstorm during the early evening hours today.

* A spring weather system over the weekend brings gusty winds,
  cooler temperatures, as well as shower and thunderstorm chances
  to the region.

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........39-41 at ignition...Max 67-68.
RH..................80-85% at ignition...Min 34-36%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds west at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Upslope 3-7 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......6000-7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening generally between
1700-2000 PDT.
Temperature.........Min 40-42.
RH..................Max 87-91%.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming southwest 7-8 mph after 3
                    am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Chance of thunder...15%.
Mixing Height.......900-1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Ventilation.........Good to poor.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning, then chance of showers and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 58-60.
RH..................Min 37-40%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 7-9 mph increasing to 9-14 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon with gusts up
to around 20 mph starting around 1100 PDT. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....5% increasing to 30% in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20%.
Mixing Height.......5600-6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20-25 mph shifting to the west late
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Fair to excellent.

$$
Forecaster...Chyba/Crespo
Requested by...Ryan Bell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513947.2/REV
.DELDT 05/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.morello@usda.gov,robert.dailey@usda.gov,james.m.smith@usda.gov,travis.shoemaker@usda.gov,jedidiah.rudelbach@usda.gov,ryan.bell@usda.gov