


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
710 FXUS65 KREV 120751 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1251 AM PDT Mon May 12 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Strong winds return again today with impacts to travel and recreation. * Cool temperatures with light mountain snow and valley rain showers arrive today and Tuesday. Temperatures will then trend upward to near average by the second half of the week. * Gusty winds and chances for rain showers return for next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... * Strong winds impacted the region on Sunday, with gusts upwards of 80-100 mph along the Sierra crests and 60-70+ mph in wind prone areas across western NV, northeast CA, and down into Mono County. We`ll have a temporary reprieve in the strong winds for most lower elevations through the early morning, followed by increasing gusts later this morning through the evening. While not as strong as Sunday, we`ll still manage gusts upwards of 30-50 mph in most areas today with stronger gusts of 60-80 mph along the Sierra crests. Expect adverse driving conditions, especially for high profile vehicles along with dangerous boating conditions for all area lakes. * In addition to gusty conditions, high-resolution model solutions and the HREF show light showers with snow above 6,000` starting by around 5 am in western Lassen. Showers spread south and east across the remainder of the area later today through Tuesday with snow levels around 6,500-7,000`. By early Tuesday, snow levels will fall to as low as 5,000`, so don`t be surprised to see some snow in the foothills. But, the warm antecedent conditions will limit any significant accumulations on the roads below 7,000`. Also, with cold air aloft and minor instability, there is a 15-25% chance for lightning today and Tuesday. Otherwise, today and Tuesday will be cool late spring days as highs struggle to reach 60 degrees in western NV, northeast CA and lower elevations of Mono County. The eastern Sierra communities will struggle to reach the upper 40s, which is 10-15 degrees below average. * This current system will move out of the area by Wednesday with a gradual warming trend. High temperatures return to average by Thursday through the weekend. Long term ensembles show yet another system moving into the area by Saturday and Sunday, bringing another slight 20% chance of showers, gusty winds, and a slight cooldown. -McKellar && .AVIATION... Mountain wave turbulence and LLWS continue through the evening. At the surface, S/SW winds sustained 20-30 kts with gusts of 30-45 kts for all Sierra and western NV terminals by the late morning. Ridge-top wind gusts may reach 70-80 kts through early evening, then slowly decline through the evening. Precipitation will make its way into western Lassen County by early morning, then eventually into the Tahoe Basin by late morning. Areas of IFR/MVFR in precipitation and mountain obscurations likely into KSVE/KTRK/KTVL, lower chances in Mono County. Snow may mix in at times as low as 5000-5500 ft msl tonight-Tuesday AM, but accumulations remain unlikely due to warm antecedent conditions. Showers and a 15-25% chance of thunderstorms will move toward the southeast by Tuesday for Tahoe/KRNO/KCXP/KMEV/KMMH. -McKellar && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ001-004-005. Wind Advisory until 5 AM PDT Monday NVZ002-003. CA...Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening CAZ070-071. Wind Advisory until 5 AM PDT Monday CAZ072. Wind Advisory until 5 PM PDT Monday CAZ073. && $$