Offshore Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
158 FZPN27 KNHC 102116 OFFPZ7 Offshore Waters Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. PMZ001-110930- Synopsis for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Raymond is near 19.1N 106.5W, or about 125 nm west of Manzanillo, Mexico at at 2 PM PDT, and is moving northwest at 15 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. Raymond will move to near 20.5N 108.4W late tonight, to near 22.5N 110.1W Sat afternoon, then weaken to a remnant low near 24.6N 110.7W late Sat night, move to near 27.1N 110.8W Sun afternoon, and dissipate late Sun night. Post-Tropical Cyclone Priscilla is near 26.3N 115.4W, or about 190 nm west-northwest of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico at 2 PM PDT, moving northward at about 5 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. The post- tropical cyclone will become a remnant low and move to near 26.8N 115.6W late tonight and dissipate Sat afternoon. Otherwise, a weakening cold front will move across the waters west of Baja California Norte Tue and Tue night, and across the waters west of Baja California Sur Wed and Wed night. Moderate to fresh northerly winds will follow the front along with moderate seas. $$ PMZ009-110930- Mexico Border S to 30N within 60 nm of shore- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 8 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt N of 31N, and NW to N 15 to 20 kt S of 31N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 8 seconds. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt N of 31N, and NW 15 to 20 kt S of 31N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 9 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .TUE...SW winds 10 to 15 kt N of 31N, and variable less than 5 kt S of 31N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt N of 31N, and NW to N 15 to 20 kt S of 31N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 14 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ011-110930- 30N to Punta Eugenia within 250 nm of shore- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 11 seconds. .SAT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 8 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW swell. Period 9 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .TUE...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 11 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 13 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ013-110930- Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro within 250 nm offshore- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW swell. Period 8 seconds. .SAT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 8 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW swell. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 13 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 14 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ014-110930- Cabo San Lazaro to Cabo San Lucas within 350 nm offshore N of 20N- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 22N E OF 112W... .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Period 9 seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms SE part moving NW. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE N OF 22N E OF 112W. NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere E of 112W, NW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W to NW 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. W of 112W, NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft N of 22N, except E of 112W building to 10 to 14 ft in the afternoon, and 8 to 11 ft S of 22N. Period 11 seconds. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 8 to 10 ft. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 17 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 16 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 11 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ016-110930- From 17N to 20N Between 110W and 115W including the Revillagigedo Islands- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NW to N swell. Period 14 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NW to N swell. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW swell. Period 17 seconds. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 13 seconds. .MON NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NW swell. Period 12 seconds. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt E of 113W, and N to NE 10 kt W of 113W. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NW swell. Period 11 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 11 seconds. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 11 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ017-110930- Northern Gulf of California- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 5 seconds. .SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SE to S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less in NW to N swell, subsiding to 3 ft or less in the afternoon. Period 5 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 9 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 5 seconds. .MON...S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 5 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 4 seconds. .TUE...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 4 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 6 seconds. .WED...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 4 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 4 seconds. $$ PMZ019-110930- Central Gulf of California- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SAT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms .SUN NIGHT...SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 6 seconds. .MON...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 5 seconds. .MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 10 seconds. .TUE...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 10 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 11 seconds. .WED...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ021-110930- Southern Gulf of California- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S late. Seas 4 ft in the evening, becoming seas 3 ft or less. Period 11 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE to S 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Period 12 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .SUN...S winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming S to SW 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Period 7 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .MON...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 16 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .WED...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .WED NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. $$ PMZ022-110930- N of 20N E of 110W to the Entrance of the Gulf of California- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. SE winds 20 to 25 kt N of 22N, and SE 35 to 40 kt S of 22N. N of 22N, seas 5 to 6 ft, building to 8 to 12 ft late. S of 22N, seas 13 to 15 ft. Period 11 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming S to SW 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 11 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .SUN...SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 17 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 16 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .TUE...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .WED...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. $$ PMZ024-110930- Colima and Jalisco within 300 nm offshore S of 20N and E of 110W- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. N of 18N, SW winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt late. S of 18N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 11 to 14 ft N of 18N subsiding to 9 to 12 ft late, and 8 to 9 ft in NW swell S of 18N. Period 10 seconds. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. .SAT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt N of 18N, and SW to W 10 kt S of 18N. Seas 7 to 9 ft in NW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. $$ PMZ025-110930- Michoacan and Guerrero within 250 nm offshore- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in W to NW swell. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SUN NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 13 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .WED...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. $$ PMZ026-110930- Oaxaca W of Puerto Angel within 250 nm offshore- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt N of 14N, and W 10 kt S of 14N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt N of 14N, and W 10 kt S of 14N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in S to SW swell. Period 13 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt N of 14N, and variable less than 5 kt S of 14N. Seas 3 to 5 ft in S to SW swell. Period 13 seconds. .WED...W to NW winds 10 kt N of 14N, and variable less than 5 kt S of 14N. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .WED NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ028-110930- Oaxaca E of Puerto Angel within 300 nm offshore including the Gulf of Tehuantepec- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt N of 14N, and W to NW 10 to 15 kt S of 14N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt N of 14N, and W 10 to 15 kt S of 14N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt N of 14N, and W to NW 10 to 15 kt S of 14N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 13 seconds. .TUE...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt N of 14N, and N 10 kt S of 14N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt N of 14N, and N to NE 10 to 15 kt S of 14N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell. Period 11 seconds. .WED...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 11 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 12 seconds. $$ PMZ029-110930- Offshore Chiapas E of 94W- 216 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TONIGHT...E of 93W, SE to S winds 10 kt, shifting to NE to E late. W of 93W, NW winds 10 kt, shifting to NW to N 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W swell. Period 11 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W swell. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...E of 93W, variable winds less than 5 kt in the morning. Variable winds less than 5 kt in the afternoon. W of 93W, NE winds 10 kt in the morning. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt E of 93W, and variable less than 5 kt W of 93W. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .WED...Variable winds less than 5 kt E of 93W, and W to NW 10 kt W of 93W. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 13 seconds. .WED NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. $$ Forecaster Aguirre