Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
136
UXUS97 KPUB 011204
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0604 MDT Tuesday, October 1, 2024

This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Tuesday, October 1, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 66.3 F/19.1 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1219 ft/min (6.2 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 21313 ft MSL (12334 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 77.0 F/25.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17644 ft MSL (8665 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 10/02.... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:00:08 / 18:45:52 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 45 min 44 sec (705 min 44 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:53:00 MDT... 48.10 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/01/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15606 ft MSL (6627 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 21040 ft MSL (12061 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21321 ft MSL (12343 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.3
K index......................... +3.1

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -66.2 -87.2   300   25   13   0.3   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -64.0 -83.2   305   23   12   4.9   2.7      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -55.9 -68.6   325   23   12   7.3   4.0      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -51.5 -60.7   330   27   14   7.4   4.1      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -47.0 -52.6   330   30   15   7.3   4.0      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -42.2 -44.0   330   29   15   8.1   4.4      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -37.4 -35.3   335   27   14   8.1   4.4      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -32.8 -27.0   330   24   12   7.5   4.1   31.7  89.0     5.3      M    M
 29000  -30.6 -23.1   325   22   12   7.5   4.1   30.9  87.6     4.7      M    M
 28000  -27.8 -18.0   325   21   11   7.4   4.1   30.0  85.9     4.0      M    M
 27000  -25.5 -13.9   325   19   10   7.5   4.1   29.0  84.2     3.2      M    M
 26000  -23.3  -9.9   325   17    9   7.5   4.1   28.2  82.8     2.6      M    M
 25000  -21.1  -6.0   325   15    8   7.7   4.2   27.5  81.5     2.0      M    M
 24000  -18.7  -1.7   330   13    7   7.9   4.4   26.8  80.2     1.4      M    M
 23000  -16.4   2.5   335   12    6   7.9   4.4   26.1  79.0     0.9      M    M
 22000  -14.0   6.8   340   11    6   8.1   4.4   25.6  78.1     0.4      M    M
 21000  -11.6  11.1   330   12    6   8.1   4.5   25.0  76.9    -0.2   1188  6.0
 20000   -9.1  15.6   325   13    7   8.1   4.4   24.4  76.0    -0.6   1085  5.5
 19500   -7.9  17.8   325   13    7   7.7   4.2   24.2  75.6    -0.8   1034  5.3
 19000   -7.0  19.4   320   14    7   5.9   3.2   23.7  74.6    -1.3    990  5.0
 18500   -6.1  21.0   315   14    7   6.0   3.3   23.0  73.4    -1.9    949  4.8
 18000   -5.2  22.6   305   15    8   6.4   3.5   22.4  72.4    -2.5    908  4.6
 17500   -4.3  24.3   300   16    8   6.5   3.6   21.9  71.4    -3.1    866  4.4
 17000   -3.3  26.1   290   17    9   6.8   3.7   21.4  70.4    -3.6    823  4.2
 16500   -2.3  27.9   285   17    9   7.7   4.2   21.0  69.7    -4.0    776  3.9
 16000   -1.2  29.8   280   17    9   7.7   4.2   20.6  69.2    -4.4    728  3.7
 15500   -0.0  32.0   275   17    9   8.5   4.7   20.4  68.7    -4.7    679  3.4
 15000    1.2  34.2   275   16    8   8.5   4.6   20.2  68.3    -5.0    627  3.2
 14500    3.0  37.4   270   14    7   8.3   4.5   19.7  67.5    -5.4    552  2.8
 14000    4.4  39.9   275   13    7   9.5   5.2   19.7  67.5    -5.5    494  2.5
 13500    5.8  42.4   275   12    6   9.5   5.2   19.7  67.4    -5.6    437  2.2
 13000    7.2  45.0   280   11    6   8.6   4.7   19.6  67.2    -5.7    382  1.9
 12500    8.4  47.1   280   11    6   6.4   3.5   19.3  66.7    -6.0    332  1.7
 12000    9.2  48.6   275   11    6   5.7   3.1   18.7  65.7    -6.6    291  1.5
 11750    9.6  49.3   270   11    6   3.3   1.8   18.3  65.0    -7.1    274  1.4
 11500    9.6  49.3   265   11    5  -2.9  -1.6   17.6  63.7    -7.8    265  1.3
 11250    9.1  48.4   260    9    5  -6.3  -3.4   16.4  61.6    -9.0    272  1.4
 11000    8.7  47.7   255    8    4  -5.1  -2.8   15.3  59.5   -10.2    278  1.4
 10750    8.2  46.8   245    7    4  -6.2  -3.4   14.1  57.4   -11.4    284  1.4
 10500    7.6  45.7   235    7    3  -8.1  -4.5   12.8  55.1   -12.7    294  1.5
 10250    7.0  44.6   230    5    3  -8.6  -4.7   11.4  52.6   -14.1    305  1.6
 10000    6.4  43.5   220    4    2  -8.9  -4.9   10.0  50.1   -15.5    316  1.6
  9750    5.8  42.4   195    3    1  -7.2  -4.0    8.7  47.6   -16.9    327  1.7
  9500    5.3  41.5   190    2    1  -8.1  -4.5    7.4  45.4   -18.2    336  1.7
  9250    4.4  39.9   255    1    0 -14.6  -8.0    5.8  42.5   -19.8    355  1.8
  9000    3.5  38.3   305    2    1  -1.6  -0.9    4.3  39.7   -21.5    374  1.9
  8750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           10/01/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       10/01/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +2.8        | CAPE...    +0.4    LI...       +2.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index...  +2.1        | CINH...    -7.2    K Index...  +1.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.6 -86.1  310  29 15   1.1   0.6 | -65.4 -85.7  315  21 11   1.1   0.6
 45000 -63.0 -81.4  305  32 16   3.6   2.0 | -62.5 -80.5  325  23 12   4.2   2.3
 40000 -56.7 -70.1  310  28 14   7.5   4.1 | -55.7 -68.3  345  22 11   6.1   3.3
 38000 -52.2 -62.0  315  29 15   7.6   4.2 | -52.0 -61.6  345  24 12   6.2   3.4
 36000 -47.6 -53.7  320  30 16   7.6   4.2 | -48.3 -54.9  350  26 14   5.8   3.2
 34000 -43.0 -45.4  325  29 15   7.8   4.3 | -43.2 -45.8  355  27 14   8.8   4.8
 32000 -38.3 -36.9  335  28 14   7.7   4.2 | -37.9 -36.2  360  28 14   8.8   4.8
 30000 -33.5 -28.3  340  26 13   8.2   4.5 | -33.1 -27.6  355  24 12   8.0   4.4
 29000 -31.0 -23.8  340  25 13   8.2   4.5 | -30.1 -22.2  350  20 11   8.0   4.4
 28000 -28.0 -18.4  340  24 12   7.3   4.0 | -27.8 -18.0  345  18  9   7.3   4.0
 27000 -25.8 -14.4  340  22 12   7.4   4.0 | -25.6 -14.1  345  17  9   7.4   4.1
 26000 -23.7 -10.7  335  21 11   7.4   4.0 | -23.4 -10.1  340  16  8   7.4   4.1
 25000 -21.5  -6.7  330  19 10   7.8   4.3 | -21.2  -6.2  335  15  8   7.6   4.2
 24000 -19.0  -2.2  330  17  9   8.1   4.4 | -18.9  -2.0  325  14  7   7.7   4.2
 23000 -16.6   2.1  330  14  7   8.1   4.4 | -16.6   2.1  310  13  7   7.7   4.2
 22000 -14.2   6.4  330  12  6   8.2   4.5 | -14.3   6.3  300  13  7   7.9   4.3
 21000 -11.7  10.9  335  12  6   8.2   4.5 | -11.9  10.6  300  13  6   8.0   4.4
 20000  -9.3  15.3  335  12  6   8.2   4.5 |  -9.5  14.9  300  12  6   8.0   4.4
 19500  -8.0  17.6  335  12  6   8.0   4.4 |  -8.3  17.1  300  11  6   7.9   4.3
 19000  -6.9  19.6  335  12  6   7.4   4.1 |  -7.2  19.0  300  11  6   7.6   4.2
 18500  -5.8  21.6  330  11  6   7.5   4.1 |  -6.0  21.2  300  11  6   7.7   4.2
 18000  -4.7  23.5  325  11  6   6.6   3.6 |  -4.9  23.2  300  11  6   6.8   3.7
 17500  -3.8  25.2  315  11  6   6.5   3.6 |  -4.0  24.8  295  11  6   6.7   3.7
 17000  -2.8  27.0  305  12  6   6.6   3.6 |  -3.0  26.6  295  12  6   6.7   3.7
 16500  -1.8  28.8  295  13  7   6.9   3.8 |  -2.0  28.4  290  13  6   6.8   3.7
 16000  -0.8  30.6  285  15  8   6.8   3.8 |  -1.0  30.2  285  13  7   6.7   3.7
 15500   0.3  32.5  275  16  8   8.4   4.6 |   0.0  32.0  285  14  7   8.3   4.5
 15000   1.5  34.7  270  16  8   8.4   4.6 |   1.2  34.2  280  16  8   8.2   4.5
 14500   2.6  36.7  270  16  8   6.6   3.6 |   3.0  37.4  275  17  9   8.3   4.5
 14000   3.8  38.8  265  15  8   9.5   5.2 |   4.3  39.7  275  17  9   9.1   5.0
 13500   5.7  42.3  265  14  7   8.5   4.7 |   5.6  42.1  270  17  9   8.6   4.7
 13000   7.0  44.6  265  13  7   8.4   4.6 |   6.8  44.2  270  16  8   8.3   4.5
 12500   8.2  46.8  265  12  6   7.3   4.0 |   8.0  46.4  270  15  8   7.0   3.9
 12000   9.2  48.6  265  12  6   7.8   4.3 |   9.0  48.2  265  14  7   7.0   3.8
 11750   9.8  49.6  260  12  6   6.8   3.7 |   9.5  49.1  260  14  7   6.4   3.5
 11500  10.1  50.2  260  12  6   2.4   1.3 |   9.9  49.8  260  13  6   4.6   2.5
 11250  10.2  50.4  255  11  6   1.0   0.5 |  10.1  50.2  250  11  6   4.0   2.2
 11000  10.3  50.5  250  11  6   1.1   0.6 |  10.4  50.7  245  10  5   3.8   2.1
 10750  10.4  50.7  245  11  6   2.1   1.2 |  10.6  51.1  235   9  5   5.7   3.1
 10500  10.4  50.7  240  11  6  -3.4  -1.9 |  11.1  52.0  220   8  4   8.8   4.8
 10250   9.8  49.6  240  10  5  -8.2  -4.5 |  11.8  53.2  215   8  4   9.4   5.2
 10000   9.2  48.6  235  10  5  -7.9  -4.3 |  12.5  54.5  210   7  4   8.6   4.7
  9750   8.6  47.5  225   9  5  -4.2  -2.3 |  13.2  55.8  205   7  4  11.5   6.3
  9500   8.7  47.7  225   8  4   3.5   1.9 |  14.3  57.7  200   6  3  18.5  10.1
  9250   9.0  48.2  220   6  3   3.8   2.1 |  15.8  60.4  200   6  3  21.5  11.8
  9000   9.2  48.6  215   4  2   7.1   3.9 |  17.3  63.1  195   5  3  18.8  10.3
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           10/01/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       10/01/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +115.5    LI...       +0.4        | CAPE...   +35.9    LI...       +0.3
CINH...   -20.1    K Index...  +8.8        | CINH...   -32.7    K Index...  +9.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.6 -86.1  330  18  9   1.2   0.6 | -66.2 -87.2  320  14  7   1.2   0.6
 45000 -62.7 -80.9  355  20 10   4.1   2.3 | -62.9 -81.2  360  17  9   5.2   2.8
 40000 -55.8 -68.4  025  27 14   6.3   3.5 | -54.6 -66.3  040  38 20   6.0   3.3
 38000 -52.0 -61.6  030  27 14   6.4   3.5 | -51.0 -59.8  045  31 16   6.0   3.3
 36000 -48.2 -54.8  030  28 14   6.2   3.4 | -47.4 -53.3  055  25 13   5.8   3.2
 34000 -43.2 -45.8  020  28 14   8.5   4.7 | -42.6 -44.7  050  25 13   8.3   4.5
 32000 -38.1 -36.6  015  28 15   8.5   4.7 | -37.6 -35.7  040  26 13   8.2   4.5
 30000 -32.3 -26.1  010  24 12   8.6   4.7 | -32.7 -26.9  040  24 12   8.3   4.6
 29000 -29.8 -21.6  005  21 11   8.6   4.7 | -29.5 -21.1  040  22 12   8.3   4.6
 28000 -27.3 -17.1  005  19 10   7.3   4.0 | -27.0 -16.6  040  21 11   8.3   4.6
 27000 -25.0 -13.0  355  17  9   7.5   4.1 | -24.6 -12.3  035  18  9   8.3   4.6
 26000 -22.8  -9.0  350  15  8   7.5   4.1 | -22.1  -7.8  030  16  8   8.3   4.6
 25000 -20.6  -5.1  340  13  7   7.2   4.0 | -19.6  -3.3  020  14  7   7.4   4.0
 24000 -18.5  -1.3  325  12  6   7.0   3.8 | -17.7   0.1  005  11  6   6.5   3.6
 23000 -16.5   2.3  310  12  6   7.0   3.9 | -15.7   3.7  340  11  6   6.6   3.6
 22000 -14.4   6.1  295  13  7   7.7   4.2 | -13.8   7.2  315  12  6   7.0   3.8
 21000 -12.0  10.4  295  13  7   8.0   4.4 | -11.7  10.9  310  14  7   7.2   4.0
 20000  -9.6  14.7  295  14  7   8.0   4.4 |  -9.5  14.9  300  16  8   7.2   4.0
 19500  -8.4  16.9  295  14  7   7.9   4.3 |  -8.4  16.9  300  17  9   7.2   3.9
 19000  -7.3  18.9  295  14  7   7.2   3.9 |  -7.4  18.7  295  18  9   7.0   3.8
 18500  -6.2  20.8  290  14  7   7.2   4.0 |  -6.4  20.5  290  18  9   7.0   3.9
 18000  -5.2  22.6  290  15  7   6.8   3.7 |  -5.3  22.5  290  18  9   7.4   4.1
 17500  -4.2  24.4  290  16  8   6.8   3.7 |  -4.2  24.4  285  19 10   7.6   4.2
 17000  -3.3  26.1  290  18  9   7.0   3.9 |  -3.2  26.2  285  19 10   7.8   4.3
 16500  -2.2  28.0  285  18  9   7.8   4.3 |  -1.9  28.6  285  19 10   8.7   4.7
 16000  -1.1  30.0  280  17  9   7.8   4.3 |  -0.7  30.7  285  18  9   8.6   4.7
 15500   0.1  32.2  280  17  9   9.0   4.9 |   0.6  33.1  280  17  9   9.1   5.0
 15000   2.1  35.8  275  16  8   9.1   5.0 |   2.6  36.7  280  15  8   9.1   5.0
 14500   3.5  38.3  275  16  8   9.7   5.3 |   4.0  39.2  275  14  7   9.6   5.3
 14000   4.8  40.6  270  14  7   9.3   5.1 |   5.3  41.5  270  14  7   9.2   5.0
 13500   6.3  43.3  265  13  7  10.3   5.7 |   6.7  44.1  270  14  7   9.3   5.1
 13000   7.6  45.7  260  11  6   8.3   4.5 |   8.0  46.4  260  14  7   8.5   4.7
 12500   8.9  48.0  250  10  5   9.6   5.3 |   9.2  48.6  255  13  7   8.9   4.9
 12000  10.3  50.5  240   9  4   9.4   5.2 |  10.5  50.9  245  13  7   8.6   4.7
 11750  11.0  51.8  240   8  4   9.0   4.9 |  11.1  52.0  245  13  7   8.0   4.4
 11500  11.7  53.1  235   8  4   9.2   5.1 |  11.7  53.1  240  13  7   8.8   4.9
 11250  12.4  54.3  235   7  4   9.3   5.1 |  12.4  54.3  240  12  6   9.3   5.1
 11000  13.1  55.6  230   7  3   9.2   5.1 |  13.1  55.6  235  11  6   9.2   5.0
 10750  13.8  56.8  225   6  3  10.2   5.6 |  13.7  56.7  230  11  6   9.4   5.2
 10500  14.6  58.3  225   6  3  10.8   5.9 |  14.4  57.9  230  10  5   9.5   5.2
 10250  15.4  59.7  220   6  3  10.4   5.7 |  15.1  59.2  225   9  5   9.4   5.2
 10000  16.1  61.0  215   5  3  10.6   5.8 |  15.8  60.4  220   8  4   9.7   5.3
  9750  16.9  62.4  210   5  3  10.2   5.6 |  16.5  61.7  210   7  4   8.7   4.8
  9500  17.8  64.0  205   5  2  15.6   8.5 |  17.1  62.8  205   7  3   7.8   4.3
  9250  19.3  66.7  200   4  2  25.3  13.9 |  17.7  63.9  195   5  3   9.1   5.0
  9000  20.8  69.4  195   4  2   7.8   4.3 |  18.3  64.9  180   4  2   6.0   3.3
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 16 min 03 sec
                   West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
                   Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613