Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 181137
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Spot Forecast for La Plata...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
537 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 MDT on August 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Today`s conditions will be a relatively weak monsoon setup. High
temperatures over the slopes will be in the 60s-70s, with relative
humidity values between 15 and 20 percent this afternoon. Winds will
generally remain out of the west-southwest through most of the
afternoon, but should swing around to more northerly late afternoon
into this evening. Few showers, if any, are anticipated over the
forecast site today, with a 10-15 percent chance overall. Isolated
showers are anticipated in the area, but coverage will be sparse,
and little precipitation, if any, should actually hit the ground.
However, gusty outflow winds will be possible in the vicinity of any
showers, with gusts 35 mph or more possible. Additionally, showers
will also be capable of producing cloud to ground lightning. Best
chance for storms will be between 12-5 PM today.

Winds will weaken overnight, generally out of the north and 5 mph or
less. RH will recover above 50 percent or so, and overnight low
temperatures will be in the 30s-40s. Tuesday will see similar high
temperatures and RH to Monday. Chances for showers and storms will
be about the same, 10 to 15 percent, once again mainly between 12-5
PM. Winds throughout the day will start more north-northeast,
turning more easterly by afternoon. Any showers in the area will
dissipate into the evening, as the area briefly dries out around
midweek.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....60F.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable and under 5 mph until 1200, then southwest around 8
                    mph until 1500, then northwest. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Mixing height.......9000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1200, then good until 1700, then
                    fair.

TIME (MDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   15  21  23  25  28  32  37
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............54  56  58  58  60  60  59  59
RH..............31  28  26  25  22  22  22  22
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  13  13  13  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 7.0 9.0 10  9.5 9.5 9.5 8.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  12  10  10  10  8
SDspl kt-ft/100045  63  90  100 88  88  87  60

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....39F.
Max humidity........65-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable and under 5 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft agl until 1900. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    after 2000.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph until 1900, then northeast
                    around 7 mph until 2200, then southeast around
                    8 mph until 0300, then south around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900. Poor after 2000.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  36  22  18  16  11  6   7   7   8   9   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  56  51  47  45  43  42  41  41  40  40  40
RH..............23  26  34  44  49  55  60  62  65  67  67  64
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 3.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   NE  N   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   9   9   9   10  9   8   8   8   7
SDspl kt-ft/100066  21  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....62F.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-northeast and under 5 mph until 1200, then northeast around 9
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL until 0900. 7500 ft agl
                    after 1000.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph until 1000. Northeast
                    around 9 mph after 1700.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Fair after 1100.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  19  10  4   3   14  24  31  39  46  47  49
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............39  41  45  50  56  59  59  60  61  61  61  61
RH..............70  67  55  42  30  25  24  22  21  21  21  21
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  13  13  13  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 2.5 5.5 7.5 8.5 9.0 9.0 8.5 7.5 6.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NE
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   9
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   12  28  45  52  56  64  60  54  53

$$
Forecaster...GARBEROGLIO
Requested by...Ben Bramwell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520117.0/PUB
.DELDT 08/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0