Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
218
FNUS75 KPUB 201428
FWSPUB
Spot Forecast for Lost Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
828 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on July 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...Upper level ridging across the Four Corners region
will continue to build north and west into the Great Basin and
Intermountain West through the weekend, keeping weak west to
northwest flow aloft in place across the region. Ample moisture
rotating around the upper high will keep daily chances of showers
and thundestorms in place across the burn site. With the moisture
in place and generally weak flow aloft, locally heavy rainfall can
be expected with storms across the region through the weekend.
Showers and storms to develop through the late morning and could
linger through the late evening and possibly into the overnight
hours. With the weak flow aloft, winds across the burn site will
be mainly terrain driven, with gusty and erratic winds expected
with any storm.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(62 percent) until 1200, then
cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers and
thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 3 until 1100, then 4 until
1300, then 5.
Max temperature.....65F.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light west to southwest 4-9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms after 0900.
Mixing height.......500 ft agl until 0900, then 3500 ft agl until
1100, then 6000 ft agl until 1700, then 3000 ft
agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph until 1400, then southwest
around 7 mph until 1600, then west until 1700,
then northeast around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1500, then
poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40 41 53 65 76 84 92 99 97 94
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY
LAL.............1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
Temp............55 58 61 63 65 65 64 63 62 60
RH..............57 51 46 43 40 41 43 46 48 51
20 FT wind dir..NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.6 7 7 7 6 6 6 12 12 12
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 2.5 4.0 7.0 8.5 8.5 7.5 5.5 4.5 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW NW W W W W SW SW W NE
Transp wind spd.3 6 7 8 8 8 9 7 7 9
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/10002 13 26 50 58 58 61 32 26 24
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....47F.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph until 2100, then
northeast around 10 mph until 2400, then north
around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 2000, then 500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph until 0200, then southeast
around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........92 89 85 82 75 68 61 59 58 56 56 56
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Temp............59 58 55 53 51 50 49 50 49 48 47 47
RH..............55 55 61 66 71 74 77 71 74 74 76 76
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE NE NE NE N N N SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 10 10 10 8 8 8 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 15 15 15 13 13 13 6 6 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SE NE NE NE N N N SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E SE SE SE S
Transp wind spd.8 8 9 10 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 5
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100020 15 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(65 percent) until 1200, then
cloudy. Chance of rain showers until 1200.
Chance of thunderstorms after 0900 until 1200,
then rain showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 4 until 1200, then 5.
Max temperature.....61F.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southwest to west 4-9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms after 0900.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1100, then 2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph until 0800. Northeast
around 8 mph after 1700.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56 59 61 63 69 75 95 95 95 93 93 93
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
LAL.............1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
Temp............47 47 50 53 56 59 60 61 61 61 60 59
RH..............76 76 68 61 55 51 49 48 46 46 47 47
20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW SW W W W N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S SW SW SW W W W N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 4.0 4.0 4.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.S SW W W NW NW NW NW NW W NW NE
Transp wind spd.6 5 6 6 6 9 10 8 9 9 9 8
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/10003 2 8 9 14 34 37 31 27 19 18 15
$$
Forecaster...WANKOWSKI
Requested by...Corey Wilson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418468.5/PUB
.DELDT 07/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0