869
FXUS65 KPUB 060904
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
304 AM MDT Sun Apr 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and calm weather today and tonight, and a bit warmer than
  yesterday.

- Warmer and drier conditions persist through the extended, with
  increasing fire danger beginning midweek.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 302 AM MDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Today and Tonight...

Dry north winds will set in aloft behind the departing trough as
high pressure begins to build into our area. Weather today will be
calm and dry, with high temperatures in the 40s-50s over the high
valleys and 50s-60s over the eastern plains. A lingering trace of
snow may be possible over the peaks of our southern mountains, but
otherwise the area will be free of any precipitation. Winds today
will be mainly out of the north and generally under 15 mph or so,
while clouds come and go throughout the day. For tonight, dry and
cool with clearing skies, and low temperatures in the 20-30s over
the plains and teens-20s over the valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 302 AM MDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Monday...Upper ridge of high pressure over the Great Basin and Four
Corners regions will flatten on Monday as another system pushes into
the Pacific NW. Developing zonal flow aloft will help warm temps
across the forecast area to around 5 degrees above normal. Plan on
highs in the 50s to around 60F for the high valleys, and 60s to near
70F for the plains.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Increasing west to northwest flow aloft will
keep the region dry, with steadily warming temperatures. Highs are
forecast to climb into the 60s to near 70F for the high valleys, and
70s to near 80F for the plains, which is anywhere from 10 to 15
degrees above normal. The increasing winds will also produce some
spotty critical fire weather conditions for portions of the area Tue
afternoon, then a more widespread threat develops for Wed. A weak
dry cold front is forecast to drop south across the eastern plains
Wed afternoon and evening.

Thursday...The cold front from the previous evening will cool temps
by around 10 degrees across the plains on Thu, though readings will
still remain above normal. Plan on highs in the 60s to around 70F
for most locations, which is 5 degrees above seasonal normals for
the plains, and 10 degrees above normal for the high valleys. A
ridge of high pressure develops over the western US on Thu, then
gradually slides east through the night.

Friday and Saturday...As the upper ridge translates across the Four
Corners and CO into the weekend, very warm and dry conditions
return. Winds are expected to be on the lighter side for Fri, so
critical fire weather conditions will likely be spotty. Increasing
winds on Sat will help boost temps to around 20 degrees above normal
for the plains, producing greatly enhance fire danger. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 302 AM MDT Sun Apr 6 2025

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24
hours. Mid-level cloudiness and north-northeast winds will last
through this forecast period.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO