065
FXUS65 KPUB 070902
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
302 AM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and seasonable weather will continue through the next 24
  hours.

- Warmer and drier conditions persist through the extended, with
  increasing fire danger midweek and again next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 259 AM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Today and Tonight...

Upper ridging will continue building in over our region and just to
our west today, giving us warm, dry, and generally quiet weather
across SE Colorado. Today`s high temperatures will warm a bit from
yesterday, with mid-high 50s over the high valleys and mid-high 60s
over the eastern plains. The area should remain dry and skies should
remain mostly clear, aside from some passing high level clouds. Low
temperatures overnight will be in the 30s for the plains and 20 in
the valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 259 AM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Predominant weather conditions across the forecast area through the
extended will be dry and warm, with a weak cold front Wednesday
altering expected temperatures from well above normal to just
slightly above normal.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Westerly zonal flow aloft on Tuesday will
become more northwesterly on Wednesday as an upper shortwave crosses
the Rockies and pushes a weak cold front south into eastern CO Wed
morning. This is a faster frontal passage than previously thought.
High temps will be in the 60s both days for the high valleys, but
across the plains highs on Tue will be in the 70s to near 80F, then
mid 60s to mid 70s on Wed.

Thursday...Cooler air will be in place across the eastern plains on
Thu, so fire weather concerns will be reserved for the San Luis
Valley. Plan on highs in the 60s to around 70F for most locations,
which is 5 degrees above seasonal normals for the plains, and 10
degrees above normal for the high valleys. A ridge of high pressure
develops over the western US on Thu, with the ridge axis pushing
east to the Four Corners through the night.

Friday...Upper ridge gradually slides east across CO on Fri,
providing for a rapid warm up but lighter winds. Temps will climb
into the mid 60s to around 70F for the high valleys, and 70s to near
80F for the plains.

Saturday and Sunday...The upper ridge continues pushing east, and
long range models indicate an uptick in the weather pattern moving
into the weekend. Increasing southwest flow aloft will push
temperatures even warmer, and fire danger will increase
significantly. The hint of some precipitation makes a return as well
to the Continental Divide on Sunday. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 259 AM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24
hours. Winds will generally stay around or under 10 knots.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 259 AM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Spotty critical fire weather conditions crop up on Tuesday, mainly
in those wind prone areas in Huerfano County and eastern
Fremont/western Pueblo counties. At this time it looks spotty enough
to be able to hold off on any sort of highlight. Wednesday has more
widespread fire danger across the San Luis Valley and much of the I-
25 Corridor, so even with a faster cold front passage highlights
will likely be needed. On Thursday, the San Luis Valley looks
critical while the eastern plains takes a day off post-frontal.
Lighter winds on Friday should keep conditions subdued, but
widespread critical fire weather conditions return for Sat and Sun.
Moore

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
FIRE WEATHER...MOORE