857
FNUS75 KPSR 300221
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Boulder View...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
721 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 PDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Wind through Sunday morning will continue to follow typical
diurnal and terrain influences, with northerly drainage winds
developing near or slightly after midnight tonight. Light north
to northeast winds will continue until 0700-0800 MST before
shifting southwest Sunday morning. However, there may be a shift
to the southeast around 0300-0500 MST as a weak disturbance moves
up from the southeast. This disturbance will be capable of
producing a few high-based showers and an isolated storm, but CWR
remains under 5%. A vicinity shower could also generate brief
erratic winds. Southwesterly winds heading into the afternoon
Sunday will increase up to around 10 mph with occasional gusts as
high as 15-20 mph. Monsoon activity is expected to be more robust
later Sunday afternoon and evening with up to 30% chances for
rain. There will be better chances of experiencing thunderstorm
outflows Sunday than the storms themselves, with indications of up
to 50% of an outflow from the southeast or east around or after
1700 MST, with wind gusts in excess of 35 mph. Rain and storm
chances will be a bit lower Monday (~15%) and if Sunday ends up
quite active, Monday may end up being a down day, but the heavy
rain and gusty outflow wind risk will still be there Monday.
Minimum RH values will remain above critical thresholds and
afternoon temperatures will be slightly above normal, reaching the
upper 90s to lower 100s.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................4 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 80.
Max humidity........52-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Becoming North winds 5 to 8 mph.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 101.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................22 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
                    east 5 to 7 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...SB
Requested by...Brandon Padron
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416849.3/PSR
.DELDT 06/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon_padron@firenet.gov