Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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953
FNUS55 KPSR 221011
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
311 AM MST Sat Nov 22 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Below normal temperatures continue this weekend, with temperatures
only a couple degrees shy of normal across the central and
eastern districts today. A low pressure system will be moving
through the region today and tomorrow bringing scattered showers
and a decent chance of wetting rains to all districts. With this
weather system moving through the region minRHs will continue to
be in the 40-75% range with excellent overnight recovery of
80-100%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible
at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through
the period.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-222215-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
311 AM MST Sat Nov 22 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................64-72.
*    24 hr trend..................9 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................39-63 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southeast in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  50 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............8 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......1400 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......East 6 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Poor.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  and slight chance of thunderstorms .
* Min Temperature.................49-59.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................89-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming southeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...50
  percent east portion.
* Chance of Thunder...............8 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers
  in the morning. slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................61-68.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................56-72 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......3900 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 63-70. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 65-72. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 68-74. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-75.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-56. Highs 70-75.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-222215-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
311 AM MST Sat Nov 22 2025 /211 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers.
* Max Temperature.................63-68.
*    24 hr trend..................9 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................58-75 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................12 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........1700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southeast 7 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening
  becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers.
* Min Temperature.................48-53.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................95-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming southwest after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................20 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny in the morning
  becoming sunny in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................66-71.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................53-61 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming north 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........2700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Highs 67-72. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-50. Highs 69-74. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 68-73. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 69-74.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 70-75.

$$

AZZ133-222215-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
311 AM MST Sat Nov 22 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers
  in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................58-71.
*    24 hr trend..................10 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................34-46 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................12 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  70 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............12 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight
  chance of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature.................39-52.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................93-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................24 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................90 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............14 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in
  the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers
  in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................47-60.
*    24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................67-87 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................38 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............12 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-48. Highs 53-64. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-47. Highs 56-68. Northeast winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-50. Highs 59-72. Northeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33-51. Highs 61-73.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36-51. Highs 61-73.

$$

CAZ232-222215-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
211 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  in the morning. slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................59-68.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................54-72 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................60 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening
  becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers
  in the evening.
* Min Temperature.................48-55.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................74-100 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the evening
  becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening
  becoming 0 percent after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............1 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................63-73.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................45-61 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 64-73. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 65-75. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 66-75. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 68-75.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-56. Highs 67-76.

$$

CAZ230-222215-
Joshua Tree National Park-
211 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  in the morning.
* Max Temperature.................50-62.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................60-77 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 30 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent in the morning
  becoming 10 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................41-50.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................72-89 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 20 to 30 mph in the
  evening becoming 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............2 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................56-67.
*    24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................47-60 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................14 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* Chance of Thunder...............0 percent.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 40-49. Highs 56-66. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 40-48. Highs 55-67. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-50. Highs 57-68. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 60-69.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40-51. Highs 60-70.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday November 29th through Monday
December 1st: near normal temperatures and above median
precipitation.