Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
878 FNUS55 KPSR 171004 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 304 AM MST Wed Jul 17 2024 .DISCUSSION... Afternoon thunderstorm activity will continue to be common across the higher terrain areas of eastern AZ through the end of the week. The main hazards with the thunderstorm activity will continue to be strong and erratic winds along with localized, brief heavy downpours. Aside from the thunderstorm winds, afternoon and early evening upslope gusts of 20-25 mph will be common. MinRHs will continue to range between 15-25% with fair to good overnight recoveries in the 30-60% range. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-172215- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 304 AM MST Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming southeast in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................83-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 84-94. Highs 108-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 85-95. Highs 109-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 84-94. Highs 106-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 84-94. Highs 105-112. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 105-112. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-172215- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 304 AM MST Wed Jul 17 2024 /304 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-90. Highs 109-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 86-91. Highs 112-117. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-90. Highs 109-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-90. Highs 108-113. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-90. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-172215- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 304 AM MST Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................69-85. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................38-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................93-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-86. Highs 93-109. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-86. Highs 94-109. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-85. Highs 91-107. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 89-105. .TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 89-105. $$ CAZ232-172215- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 304 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-92. Highs 105-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-92. Highs 107-117. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-92. Highs 105-115. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-91. Highs 105-114. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-92. Highs 105-114. $$ CAZ230-172215- Joshua Tree National Park- 304 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................75-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................93-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-89. Highs 95-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-89. Highs 97-112. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-89. Highs 97-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-89. Highs 96-110. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-89. Highs 96-110. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday July 24th through Friday July 26th: Above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.