Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
181 FNUS55 KPSR 030746 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1246 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... Drier conditions will continue to filter into the region through Thursday leaving only slight chances for some showers and maybe a weak thunderstorm across the eastern Arizona high terrain this afternoon. Rain chances will generally come to an end altogether starting Thursday. As conditions continue to dry out, hotter temperatures are expected with excessive heat spreading eastward through much of Arizona. MinRH values across the lower deserts will fall to around 15% today, while higher terrain areas east of Phoenix see 20-25%. Even lower RHs are expected Thursday into Friday. Winds will follow diurnal trends, occasionally gusting to 20 mph during the afternoon hours. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-032000- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1246 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 12 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 110-116. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 109-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 108-113. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-116. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-116. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-032000- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1246 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 /1246 AM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................53-69 pct. * 24 hr trend..................20 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................112-117. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................12-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming north 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 114-119. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 79-85. Highs 112-117. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 112-117. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 114-119. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 114-119. $$ AZZ133-032000- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1246 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................46-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................11-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-82. Highs 95-110. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-82. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-108. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-84. Highs 96-109. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 94-109. $$ CAZ232-032000- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1246 AM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 110-120. North winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 109-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 108-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 110-120. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 110-119. $$ CAZ230-032000- Joshua Tree National Park- 1246 AM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................74-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-115. North winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-85. Highs 100-114. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 101-116. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 101-115. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday July 10th through Friday July 12th: Above normal temperatures and below median precipitation.