Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
853 FNUS55 KPSR 100714 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1214 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 .DISCUSSION... Wetting rainfall will continue today over much of the area with more of a focus across southern and central Arizona. Rain may be moderate to heavy at times leading to localized flooding, especially over higher terrain areas. Elevated moisture levels will keep MinRHs above of 30-40% through Saturday with drier air eventually working into the western districts by Sunday. East northeasterly winds will persist across the eastern districts with northerly winds over the western districts today before shifting to the southwest on Saturday. Occasional wind gusts between 20-30 mph will be possible during the period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-101915- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1214 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................88-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................35-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............28 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. chance of thunderstorms . showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................70-80. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................71-87 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the evening becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent west portion...80 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............27 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................87-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................35-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent west portion...40 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............32 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-74. Highs 83-90. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61-71. Highs 82-90. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 58-68. Highs 80-88. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-67. Highs 79-87. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 77-84. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-101915- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1214 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 /1214 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................88-93. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................42-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............22 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........East 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................71-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................76-97 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the evening becoming southwest 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................92-97. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................31-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 13 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-72. Highs 85-90. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-68. Highs 85-90. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-63. Highs 80-85. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-62. Highs 79-84. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53-59. Highs 77-82. $$ AZZ133-101915- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1214 AM MST Fri Oct 10 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................78-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................32-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............35 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. chance of thunderstorms . showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................59-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................76-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............37 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................71-86. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................49-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................21 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............51 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55-69. Highs 67-82. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55-68. Highs 67-81. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54-67. Highs 68-83. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 50-67. Highs 70-84. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-61. Highs 69-82. $$ CAZ232-101915- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1214 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................85-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................38-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming east in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................69-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................74-88 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. * Max Temperature.................86-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 60-67. Highs 80-88. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 78-87. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Highs 74-83. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-61. Highs 73-82. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53-60. Highs 72-82. $$ CAZ230-101915- Joshua Tree National Park- 1214 AM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................77-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................40-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............18 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................58-70. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................78-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............16 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................75-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................20 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 48-61. Highs 68-80. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 44-59. Highs 67-81. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-55. Highs 63-76. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-55. Highs 61-74. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-54. Highs 61-74. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday October 16th through Sunday October 18th: Near to below normal temperatures and near to above median precipitation.