Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
090 FXZS60 NSTU 080042 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 142 PM SST Tue Oct 7 2025 .Short term [tonight through Thursday night]... Shower and thunderstorm activity has cleared in the area through the day today, bringing a break in the flooding threat. Passing showers remain possible but should not lead to flash flooding for the next few hours. Heavier shower and thunderstorm activity is observed on satellite to the east of the territory. This activity is expected to drift west and over the territory Wednesday through Thursday bringing heavy showers and the potential for thunderstorms and flash flooding. Winds out of the southeast will briefly peak as high as 25 mph on Wednesday. .Long term [Friday through Tuesday]... After the heavy showers and thunderstorms move out of the area by Thursday night, the trough is expected to become focused to the north and west of the territory, which will decrease rainfall late week into Saturday. Guidance indicates the potential for the trough to spread back over the territory Sunday into early next week, bringing another period of increased rain chances. Trade winds out of the east to southeast should increase 15 to 25 mph early next week. && .Marine... Seas continue to remain below Small Craft Advisory threshold, at a steady 5 to 7 feet. This will change Wednesday, as a fresh breeze builds seas 7 to 9 feet. Heavy showers and thunderstorms may further elevate seas and lead to more unpredictable ocean conditions at times Wednesday through Thursday. Seas are forecast to peak at 8 to 10 feet late week through Saturday. Period times are expected to be short with no significant swells expected, this will lead to the large wind-driven seas being particulary rough and choppy. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch && $$ Barton