Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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060
FNUS71 KPHI 300035
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Njff Fire Training...New Jersey Forest Fire
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
835 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will lift across the region tonight. This will be
followed by a cold front which will then move across the area
later Sunday. High pressure builds in Monday through Tuesday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9700 knot-ft).
ADI.................8.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........92
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............40
Chc of pcpn (%).40
LAL.............3
Temp............72
RH..............97
20 FT wind dir..SW
20 FT wind spd..7
20 FT wind gust.14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9
Transp wind dir.SW
Transp wind spd.13
ADI.............8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10
Ventrate Cat....PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon. Areas of fog late in
                    the morning.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 20 percent in the
                    morning, then increasing to 40 percent early in
                    the afternoon increasing to 50 percent early in
                    the afternoon increasing to 70 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3 until 0700, then 2 until 1100, then 1 until
                    1200, then 3 until 1400, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (51500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 60 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  90  90  86  82  85  83  80  78  77  80  83
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH ARS ARS SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH     CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............30  20  20  20  20  20  40  50  70  70  70  70
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20  20  20  20  40  50  70  70  70  70
LAL.............3   2   2   2   2   1   3   3   4   4   4   4
Temp............72  73  74  76  78  80  81  82  85  87  85  83
RH..............97  97  93  90  85  82  79  77  65  61  65  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  14  15  16  16  16  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.0 3.4 2.7
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.12  12  14  15  14  16  16  17  16  17  17  15
ADI.............8   12  24  32  31  43  51  59  57  55  60  46
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   9   16  22  22  32  41  50  50  45  52  36
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 40 percent early in
                    the evening, then decreasing to 30 percent
                    early in the evening increasing to 40 percent
                    late in the evening decreasing to 30 percent
                    decreasing to 20 percent late in the evening
                    decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3 until 2300, then 2 until
                    0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north 7 to 8 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 15 mph shifting to the north 12 to
                    16 mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (8600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................8 to 39.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  70  64  57  51  44  37  30  24  21  20  20
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CWR.............60  40  30  40  30  20  20  10  0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).60  40  30  40  30  20  20  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............4   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  79  76  72  69  68  66  64  62  61  59  59
RH..............69  77  82  87  87  81  81  84  84  84  90  87
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  14  15  15  15  16  16  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.15  13  12  13  13  13  13  15  15  16  15  14
ADI.............39  11  8   11  11  11  8   10  10  11  10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28  14  9   9   9   9   9   12  14  14  12  9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...OHara
Requested by...Memmerich
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416940.0/PHI
.DELDT 06/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.emmerich@dep.nj.gov