282
FNUS71 KPHI 092047
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Linbegh Fire...New Jersey Forest Fire
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
447 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on March 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A Special Weather Statement is in effect until 7 PM today for an
elevated risk of fire spread for the entire area. West-southwest
winds around 15-20 mph with gusts up to 30-35 mph will continue with
MinRH values around 25-35%. Wind gusts will quickly drop off near
sunset to around 5-10 mph and RHs will recover overnight.

For Monday, winds will be much lighter compared to Sunday, as west-
southwest winds will be around 10-15 mph. MinRH values will also be
in the 30-40% range. Due to lighter winds and slightly higher RHs,
there does not appear to be an elevated risk for fire spread at this
time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest winds around 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (162500 knot-ft).
ADI.................100.
Eye level winds.....West winds around 9 mph with gusts to around 17
                    mph.

TIME (EDT)      5 PM
Sky (%).........20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............53
RH..............32
20 FT wind......W 15G28
Eye level wind..W 9G17
Mix hgt (ft)....6200
Transport wind..W 30
ADI.............100
Vrate kt-ft/1K..163
Ventrate Cat....EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph decreasing to 10 to 16 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (43900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................60 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
                    the night.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 7 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........10           6            9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0            0            0
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
Temp............52           41           38
RH..............32           48           57
20 FT wind......W 12G22      SW 5G9       SW 7G12
Eye level wind..W 7G13       SW 3G5       SW 4G7
Mix hgt (ft)....2300         200          200
Transport wind..W 22         W 13         W 13
ADI.............60           6            6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..44           2            2
Ventrate Cat....FAIR         POOR         POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph decreasing to around 8 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (38000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 52 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 5 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........32           10           9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0            0            0
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
Temp............38           48           61
RH..............64           51           35
20 FT wind......SW 7G13      W 7G14       W 8G15
Eye level wind..SW 4G8       W 4G8        W 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....300          1200         3800
Transport wind..W 15         NW 18        W 12
ADI.............7            29           52
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4            19           38
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         POOR

$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Mike Emmerich
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2505465.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Peter.mount@dep.nj.gov,NJFFAIMT@gmail.com,Eric.weber@dep.nj.gov,michael.emmerich@dep.nj.gov