Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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Spot Forecast for Ganner...DCNR- Forestry
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
938 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 EST on November 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Even though portions of northern New Jersey and northeast
Pennsylvania may have RH values near 35 percent for a few hours
around midday today and winds will be gusty around 20 mph,
dewpoints will increase through the day resulting in RH values
increasing in the afternoon. Therefore, no fire weather related
statements are expected for Sunday at this time.

Showers are forecast to result in a wetting rain (0.25-0.50
inches currently forecast) later Sunday, especially at night,
into Monday morning.

The relief may be short-lived though as very dry and breezy
conditions are expected once again on Tuesday. In the wake of a
cold front on Tuesday, minimum RH values could be near 30
percent, and wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph will be possible.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain late in the evening, then
rain likely overnight.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (17300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (9200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................11 to 15.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.

TIME (EST)      10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........99     99     92     84
Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............90     70     50     20
Chc of pcpn (%).90     70     50     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............54     54     55     56
RH..............90     96     96     93
20 ft wind......S 8    SW 9   SW 10  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.17     20     20     21
Eye level wind..S 5    SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     12     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1200   1100   1100
Transport wind..SW 13  SW 16  SW 16  SW 15
ADI.............11     14     14     13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9      16     15     14
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.VETERANS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (90900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................16 early in the morning increasing to 69 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 8 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     37     23     15     9      6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     0      0
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............56     58     61     66     67     65
RH..............93     86     70     52     45     45
20 ft wind......SW 9   W 10   W 13   W 14   W 14   W 12
20 ft wind gust.18     22     22     23     22     20
Eye level wind..SW 5   W 6    W 8    W 8    W 8    W 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.11     13     13     14     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1500   3000   3900   3900   3000
Transport wind..W 14   W 16   W 20   W 23   W 22   W 17
ADI.............16     32     63     63     60     55
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11     22     52     79     74     45
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD   FAIR

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 20 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................5 to 13.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 7 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      6      10     12     15     19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............59     55     55     54     51     48
RH..............60     72     69     69     71     71
20 ft wind......W 7    W 6    W 8    W 9    W 12   NW 12
20 ft wind gust.15     14     17     18     20     22
Eye level wind..W 4    W 4    W 5    W 5    W 7    NW 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.9      8      10     11     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   700    700    900    1200   1400
Transport wind..W 13   W 12   W 15   NW 16  NW 18  NW 20
ADI.............6      5      10     11     12     13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16     8      10     13     18     25
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (108000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................47 to 79.
Eye level winds.....North winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........21     20     16     9      5      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............45     46     51     54     55     54
RH..............73     65     48     40     34     32
20 ft wind......NW 10  NW 12  NW 15  NW 15  NW 15  N 14
20 ft wind gust.22     23     26     26     25     23
Eye level wind..NW 6   NW 7   NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   N 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.13     14     16     16     15     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   2900   4700   4900   4600   3900
Transport wind..NW 21  NW 23  N 26   N 25   N 23   N 20
ADI.............47     71     79     76     67     53
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32     57     108    106    91     66
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   VYGD   VYGD   GOOD   GOOD

$$
Forecaster...DeSilva
Requested by...Jeremy Hamilton
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426220.0/PHI
.DELDT 11/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jhamilton@pa.gov