922
FNUS71 KPHI 281428
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for BEF...Silvix
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
928 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on March 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure briefly dominates early Saturday. A strong cold
front moves through later Saturday, then high pressure builds in
later Sunday into Monday before moving offshore into Tuesday. A
potentially strong area of low pressure tracks across the
eastern Great Lakes Wednesday then into the Canadian Maritimes
Thursday. An associated cold front crosses our area late
Wednesday into early Thursday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 17 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph shifting to the northwest around 16 mph
                    with gusts to around 30 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 25 mph increasing to 30 to 35 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (50800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (118000
                    knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon.
ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 108 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  36  21  38  29  41  36  30  25  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............46  51  53  54  54  51  50  49  45  42
RH..............60  54  52  48  43  44  41  37  38  39
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..12  13  15  16  17  18  18  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.18  23  26  28  29  30  30  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 2.3 4.5 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.6
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.17  25  30  30  30  33  35  33  32  30
ADI.............21  69  88  91  94  106 108 103 98  88
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  51  118 128 137 157 158 147 137 119
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL VGD VGD VGD

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 20.
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 29 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 28 mph decreasing to 16 to 17
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (102800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to good (36200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................11 to 37.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  14  13  11  10  11  12  13  14  14  15  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............39  36  34  31  29  28  26  25  24  23  22  21
RH..............39  40  41  45  46  46  48  48  47  47  47  47
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..16  15  15  14  14  14  13  13  13  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.29  28  26  25  24  23  22  21  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.28  25  24  24  23  22  22  21  20  17  16  16
ADI.............37  34  33  32  31  30  29  28  26  12  11  11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..103 88  84  81  78  76  74  72  59  47  36  36
Ventrate Cat....VGD GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 34.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 23
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (87000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................47 to 82.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  12  11  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............21  20  22  24  26  28  30  32  33  33  34  33
RH..............47  47  43  41  38  35  34  31  30  30  29  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  21  22  22  22  23  22  22  21  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.6 3.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  17  18  18  20  20  18  18  17  15
ADI.............47  47  55  63  70  74  78  82  80  77  75  54
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36  36  46  56  67  74  80  87  86  86  85  50
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR

$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Shannon Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2504379.0/PHI
.DELDT 02/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shannon@silvixforestry.com