834
FNUS71 KPHI 161230
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Cedar Swamp...DE Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
730 AM EST Thu Jan 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on January 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak area of low pressure will pass through later today,
bringing a bit of light snow. A warm front will lift north on
Saturday, bringing a shot of widespread light rainfall and
milder conditions. A strong arctic cold front will pass through
Sunday, with a wave of low pressure riding behind it which may
produce a little snow. A very cold air mass will dominate next
week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    snow showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 33.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (45100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................5 to 44.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  67  82  88  90  93  93  93  95  95
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  20  20  30  30  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  20  20  30  30  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............20  23  26  28  30  31  32  33  33  32
RH..............71  65  55  50  46  47  49  51  56  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   12  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.10  12  14  15  17  18  18  17  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.1 1.5 0.7
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   9   10  14  16  17  20  17  16  13
ADI.............5   7   15  25  31  35  44  34  27  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   6   12  21  28  33  45  32  21  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Snow showers
                    likely in the evening.
CWR.................50 percent increasing to 60 percent late in the
                    evening, then decreasing to 30 percent late in
                    the evening decreasing to 20 percent late in
                    the evening decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 24.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    6 to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    10 to 16 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft).
ADI.................5 to 14.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........94  96  95  91  88  82  76  68  53  37  25  18
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  50  50  60  30  20  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  60  30  20  10  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............31  31  31  30  30  30  29  29  28  27  27  26
RH..............69  72  72  75  75  75  75  75  75  78  74  78
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   7   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  9   8   9   9   10  12  12  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  10  8   9   10  12  14  15  16  16  16  15
ADI.............8   7   5   6   7   8   12  13  14  11  11  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   3   3   4   5   6   7   7   7   7   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Eric Ludwig
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500726.1/PHI
.DELDT 01/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.ludwig@delaware.gov