Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pittsburgh, PA

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977
FNUS71 KPBZ 120845
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for Coalbed RX...USDA FS Allegheny NF
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
445 AM EDT Mon May 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A low pressure system will lift north today and will
bring rounds of showers and a few thunderstorms. Given the dry air
in place and mid and upper level cloud cover moving north, the
showers are not expected to impact the prescribed burn area until
the evening timeframe or after 2300. Realtively light south winds
are expected this afternoon with some gusts reaching 10 mph after
1200. A relatively less complex terrain will make for little local
effects with the exception of an east aspect on the eastern edge of
the operation. RH values could reach the upper 20% range by 1600.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 13 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Chc of thdr (%).0
Temp............50
RH..............57
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..4
20 FT wind gust.11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4
Transp wind dir.SE
Transp wind spd.13
LVORI...........3
ADI.............6

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 111 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  23  20  11  15  31  38  48  58  42  41  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............50  51  56  61  67  71  75  77  77  79  79  78
RH..............58  60  58  55  49  39  34  32  31  35  35  37
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  11  11  11  11  12  12  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.9 4.8 5.7 5.7 6.2 6.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  15  15  14  14  13  14  14  15  16
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............11  11  12  22  31  43  68  76  88  89  103 111

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers overnight, then rain showers
                    likely overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 to 11.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  64  62  71  73  80  86  89  92  90  91  92
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  0   10  10  20  30  40  60  60  60  70
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............77  75  70  67  65  64  62  61  61  60  59  60
RH..............39  44  53  61  67  71  77  80  83  90  95  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6
ADI.............11  8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the morning, then rain showers early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...24 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph increasing to 22 to 23
                    mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 60 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  93  90  90  88  85  85  87  89  88  88  87
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............59  59  60  61  63  63  65  65  66  66  65  65
RH..............97  96  97  98  91  89  84  81  79  79  78  78
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  13  16  17  17  17  20  20  20  21  22  23
LVORI...........6   6   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............9   12  27  34  33  37  50  55  55  58  60  60

$$
Forecaster...DS
Requested by...John Fry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513744.0/PBZ
.DELDT 05/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.fry@usda.gov