Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
249
FNUS53 KPAH 160730
FWFPAH
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Paducah KY
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A severe weather outbreak is forecast today with strong south
winds and very humid conditions. A front clears the area
Saturday morning before storminess returns late Sunday through
the middle of the week.
MOZ098-100-106>108-162115-
Shannon-Wayne MO-Oregon-Carter-Ripley-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 40 0
High Temperature(F) 84-88 81-85
Minimum RH(%) 54-59 32-37
Low Temperature(F) 55-59
Maximum RH(%) 80-85
Temp (24h trend) 87 (-2) 56 (-6) 84
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-17) 83 (-15) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 G26 W 4-8 G25 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G29 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.41 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1250 1220
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4090 3990
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 78 73
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 15
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 W 8
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 15000 9760
Dispersion Index Good Fair
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ076-086-087-162115-
Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 50 0
High Temperature(F) 83-87 79-83
Minimum RH(%) 56-61 35-40
Low Temperature(F) 56-60
Maximum RH(%) 80-85
Temp (24h trend) 86 (-2) 58 (-6) 82
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-9) 83 (-13) 38
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5-9 G25 SW 6-10 G26 W 5-9 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11-15 G28 W 4-8 G18 W 5-9 G19
Precip Amount 0.70 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1240 1430
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4080 4690
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 78 73
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 W 17
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 13 W 9
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 16120 12870
Dispersion Index Good Good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs
in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
MOZ109>112-114-162115-
Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 90 0
High Temperature(F) 82-86 80-84
Minimum RH(%) 62-67 38-43
Low Temperature(F) 60-64
Maximum RH(%) 88-93
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-2) 61 (-7) 83
RH % (24h trend) 65 (-3) 91 (-6) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 7-11 G27 SW 7-11 G27 W 5-9 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 12-16 G31 W 4-8 G17 W 5-9 G20
Precip Amount 0.44 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 3 6
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1090 1350
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3580 4440
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 80 77
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 W 17
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 13 W 9
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 14170 12150
Dispersion Index Good Good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows around 60. Highs around 70.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around
70. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ILZ084-085-088-089-092-093-162115-
Jackson-Williamson-Union IL-Johnson-Alexander-Pulaski-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 0
High Temperature(F) 83-87 77-81
Minimum RH(%) 58-63 40-45
Low Temperature(F) 58-62
Maximum RH(%) 84-89
Temp (24h trend) 86 (-3) 60 (-6) 81
RH % (24h trend) 61 (-4) 87 (-8) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5-9 G23 SW 7-11 G27 W 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10-14 G29 W 4-8 G17 W 5-9 G20
Precip Amount 0.79 0.14 0.00
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1200 1420
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3930 4670
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 79 72
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 W 19
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 13 W 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 15600 14200
Dispersion Index Good Good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ILZ086-087-090-091-094-162115-
Saline-Gallatin-Pope-Hardin-Massac-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 90 0
High Temperature(F) 82-86 76-80
Minimum RH(%) 55-60 39-44
Low Temperature(F) 59-63
Maximum RH(%) 83-88
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-4) 61 (-6) 80
RH % (24h trend) 58 (0) 86 (-5) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4-8 G23 SW 7-11 G27 W 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9-13 G28 SW 4-8 G17 W 5-9 G21
Precip Amount 0.88 0.43 0.00
Precip Duration 3 6
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1120 1440
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3670 4730
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 79 71
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 20
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 W 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 13440 14400
Dispersion Index Good Good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs
in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper
60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ILZ075>078-080>083-162115-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 0
High Temperature(F) 83-87 73-77
Minimum RH(%) 52-57 41-46
Low Temperature(F) 57-61
Maximum RH(%) 78-83
Temp (24h trend) 86 (-3) 58 (-6) 77
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-7) 81 (-12) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5-9 G23 SW 7-11 G26 W 7-11 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11-15 G28 W 5-9 G19 W 7-11 G24
Precip Amount 0.55 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1390 1420
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550 4640
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 78 65
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 19
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 W 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 16680 14200
Dispersion Index Very good Good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs
in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-162115-
Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Webster-
Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025 /330 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025/
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 90 0
High Temperature(F) 82-86 74-78
Minimum RH(%) 57-62 44-49
Low Temperature(F) 60-64
Maximum RH(%) 87-92
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-5) 62 (-6) 78
RH % (24h trend) 60 (-1) 90 (-2) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 6-10 G21 SW 8-12 G25 W 7-11 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10-14 G27 SW 5-9 G18 W 7-11 G23
Precip Amount 0.77 0.47 0.00
Precip Duration 3 6
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1220 1490
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4010 4890
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 79 69
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 21
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 W 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 14640 16390
Dispersion Index Good Very good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs
in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
KYZ010>013-016-017-021-022-162115-
Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-Muhlenberg-Todd-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 90 0
High Temperature(F) 82-86 78-82
Minimum RH(%) 60-65 43-48
Low Temperature(F) 61-65
Maximum RH(%) 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-4) 63 (-5) 81
RH % (24h trend) 63 (0) 97 (+3) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 G23 SW 8-12 G24 W 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8-12 G26 SW 5-9 G20 W 6-10 G21
Precip Amount 0.74 0.91 0.00
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 7 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 930 1530
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3050 5030
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 79 73
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 22 W 22
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 W 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 10230 16830
Dispersion Index Good Very good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs around 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Not
as warm. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 70. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
KYZ001>009-162115-
Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-
230 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 90 0
High Temperature(F) 82-86 79-83
Minimum RH(%) 63-68 43-48
Low Temperature(F) 61-65
Maximum RH(%) 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-3) 63 (-6) 82
RH % (24h trend) 66 (0) 98 (+1) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 6-10 G27 SW 8-12 G27 W 5-9 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9-13 G31 SW 4-8 G18 W 5-9 G20
Precip Amount 0.49 0.52 0.00
Precip Duration 3 7
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 7 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1040 1460
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3410 4790
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 80 76
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 W 20
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 13 W 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 13520 14600
Dispersion Index Good Good
DSI SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Not
as warm. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 70. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$