Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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016
FNUS53 KPAH 161943
FWFPAH

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Paducah KY
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected tomorrow with relatively poor dispersion
due to light transport winds. Rain moves in Saturday afternoon
with thunderstorms also expected. A sharp cold front will
lower temperatures and dewpoints into early next week with
dry and breezy conditions anticipated Sunday giving way to
relatively mild and dry conditions.


MOZ098-100-106>108-170915-
Shannon-Wayne MO-Oregon-Carter-Ripley-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            90
High Temperature(F)                80-84                     79-83
Minimum RH(%)                      42-47                     55-60
Low Temperature(F)    54-58                     57-61
Maximum RH(%)         92-97                     88-93
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-1)      84 (+1)      59           83
RH % (24h trend)      95 (0)       45 (-1)      91           58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 5-9 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.56
Precip Duration                                              5
Precip Begin                                                 7 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              1190                      1270
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3900                      4180
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  75                        78
Transport Wnd (kts)                S 10                      SW 19
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      SW 10
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              5950                      12700
Dispersion Index                   Fair                      Good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ076-086-087-170915-
Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            90
High Temperature(F)                78-82                     80-84
Minimum RH(%)                      43-48                     50-55
Low Temperature(F)    54-58                     57-61
Maximum RH(%)         87-92                     89-94
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-1)      81 (-1)      58           83
RH % (24h trend)      90 (-7)      46 (-1)      92           53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 3-7        Lgt/Var      SW 9-13 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.44
Precip Duration                                              4
Precip Begin                                                 7 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              990                       1540
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3230                      5050
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  75                        81
Transport Wnd (kts)                S 10                      SW 21
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      SW 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              4950                      16940
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ109>112-114-170915-
Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            80
High Temperature(F)                79-83                     82-86
Minimum RH(%)                      42-47                     46-51
Low Temperature(F)    56-60                     59-63
Maximum RH(%)         85-90                     88-93
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-2)      82 (-1)      60           85
RH % (24h trend)      88 (-6)      45 (0)       91           49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7        SW 11-15 G27
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.24
Precip Duration                                              3
Precip Begin                                                 7 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              1000                      1690
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3270                      5540
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  77                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  7                      SW 22
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              4000                      18590
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ084-085-088-089-092-093-170915-
Jackson-Williamson-Union IL-Johnson-Alexander-Pulaski-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            80
High Temperature(F)                77-81                     81-85
Minimum RH(%)                      44-49                     48-53
Low Temperature(F)    54-58                     59-63
Maximum RH(%)         84-89                     89-94
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-2)      80 (-1)      60           84
RH % (24h trend)      87 (-9)      47 (-2)      92           51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.28
Precip Duration                                              3
Precip Begin                                                 7 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              850                       1660
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2800                      5450
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  75                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  8                      SW 24
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 12
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              3400                      19920
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ILZ086-087-090-091-094-170915-
Saline-Gallatin-Pope-Hardin-Massac-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            70
High Temperature(F)                76-80                     81-85
Minimum RH(%)                      40-45                     42-47
Low Temperature(F)    51-55                     57-61
Maximum RH(%)         77-82                     86-91
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-4)      80 (+1)      59           84
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-15)     43 (-3)      89           45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 8-12 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.15
Precip Duration                                              2
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              850                       1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2800                      5590
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  74                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  7                      SW 23
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 12
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              3400                      20400
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ILZ075>078-080>083-170915-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            90
High Temperature(F)                77-81                     81-85
Minimum RH(%)                      36-41                     42-47
Low Temperature(F)    51-55                     57-61
Maximum RH(%)         76-81                     85-90
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-5)      81 (+1)      58           84
RH % (24h trend)      79 (-13)     39 (-5)      88           45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 4-8        S 3-7 G17    SW 10-14 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.34
Precip Duration                                              3
Precip Begin                                                 7 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              860                       1620
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2820                      5320
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  73                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  9                      SW 22
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      SW 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              4300                      17820
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-170915-
Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Webster-
Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /343 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            70
High Temperature(F)                74-78                     81-85
Minimum RH(%)                      39-44                     43-48
Low Temperature(F)    48-52                     56-60
Maximum RH(%)         79-84                     92-97
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-6)      78 (+2)      57           84
RH % (24h trend)      82 (-12)     42 (-7)      95           46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 9-13 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              790                       1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2590                      5590
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  73                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  8                      SW 22
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              3160                      18700
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                STBL                      SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs around 70. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ010>013-016-017-021-022-170915-
Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-Muhlenberg-Todd-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            60
High Temperature(F)                77-81                     82-86
Minimum RH(%)                      40-45                     42-47
Low Temperature(F)    48-52                     57-61
Maximum RH(%)         79-84                     91-96
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-7)      80 (+2)      58           85
RH % (24h trend)      82 (-11)     43 (-5)      94           45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 8-12 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 3 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              960                       1780
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3160                      5830
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  74                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  7                      SW 21
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              3840                      19580
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ001>009-170915-
Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-
243 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            70
High Temperature(F)                79-83                     82-86
Minimum RH(%)                      44-49                     45-50
Low Temperature(F)    52-56                     58-62
Maximum RH(%)         84-89                     91-96
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-4)      82 (+2)      59           85
RH % (24h trend)      87 (-9)      47 (-1)      94           48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 9-13 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl)              1030                      1820
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3360                      5970
1700`Mix Hgt Temp                  76                        82
Transport Wnd (kts)                S  7                      SW 22
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 11
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m)              4120                      20020
Dispersion Index                   Poor                      Very good
DSI                                SLGT UNSTBL               SLGT UNSTBL

Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$