999
FXUS63 KPAH 060455
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1155 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue
  through late this afternoon.

- Locally dense fog is possible early Wednesday morning.

- Dry conditions are forecast Wednesday through this weekend,
  with a small (15-20%) chance of thunderstorms forecast Monday.

- Temperature and humidity levels will remain close to seasonal
  averages through the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025

Upper-level troughing over the eastern CONUS will gradually
shift east of the region as surface high pressure and mid- and
upper- level heights increase from the west. This means the
ongoing isolated to widely scattered convection across the
region will likely be the last day with mentionable
precipitation chances until early next week. One thing to watch
tonight will be for locally dense fog development, as low
temperatures across the region will fall near or below crossover
temperature thresholds.

Temperature and humidity levels will remain near typical values
for August throughout the next seven days. As the surface high
pressure translates east of the region late this weekend into
Monday, small precipitation chances return to the forecast as
model guidance hints at the arrival of some enhanced tropical
moisture from the Gulf, which will aid in isolated thunderstorm
development.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025

Fog potential is the primary concern for the 06Z TAFs. Guidance
in general has become less bullish for fog, and also for lower
ceilings after daybreak. IFR fog was mentioned at PAH, where it
is already MVFR, and KCGI. Elsewhere, MVFR should suffice. We
cannot rule out lower conditions, especially at KMVN, but
confidence is too low to go there at this time.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DRS