573
FXUS63 KPAH 061124
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
624 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures will be at least 10 degrees above average today,
  but just short of record highs.

- Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be slightly below
  average, with values returning to near normal the rest of the
  week.

- It will remain dry. No rain is forecast this week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 620 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 128 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Early this morning, a cold front extended from southeast WI to
north central MO back into central KS. This front will progress
southeast and into our region by midday to early afternoon. By
sunset, the front should be south of our area into TN and AR.
Ahead of the front, winds will become west. Plenty of sunshine
is forecast today, with a few clouds possible this afternoon.
The sun, combined with the westerly (then northwest) trajectory
along and ahead of the front will push temperatures up to
values similar to yesterday. Raised our highs by 2 to 4 degrees
toward the 50th-75th percentile off the NBM, as we typically
get a little higher with temperatures in this scenario. Despite
temperatures running around 10 degrees above average, or even
slightly higher, we should fall just short of records. Highs
will range from the mid 80s around I-64 to upper 80s, possibly
90 farther south into SEMO and west KY.

High pressure takes control of our weather tonight and persists
for the next several days. It will be dry this week and into
next weekend. Temperatures will be slightly below average to
start the work week, followed by a return to near normal values.
Highs in the 70s, with lows mid 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 624 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

A dry cold front will move through the region from NW to SE
during the first 12 hours of the forecast period. This will
bring a wind shift to W and eventually NW winds at all terminals
by mid to late afternoon. Post-frontal winds will be sustained
at 9-12 kts with gusts up to 20 kts possible at EVV and OWB.
Winds will relax tonight, but remaining steady enough to prevent
overnight fog development.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...CN
AVIATION...DWS