074
FXUS63 KPAH 021131
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
631 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and mostly sunny conditions will continue today through
  the first half of the holiday weekend.

- More comfortable humidity levels will persist through
  Thursday, then slightly above normal temperatures and higher
  humidity can be expected for the 4th of July through the
  weekend.

- Chances of showers and thunderstorms will return Sunday
  afternoon, with an unsettled weather pattern persisting into
  early next week.

 &&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 631 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Updated aviation section for 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

High pressure currently centered west of the PAH forecast area
will gradually slide east over the next several days, keeping
our weather dry through Saturday night. Dew points in the middle
to upper 60s and seasonable temperatures through Thursday will
keep conditions fairly comfortable for early July. Winds will
shift to the south Thursday as the center of the high moves east
of our area. This will push both temperatures and dew points up
a few degrees for the July 4th weekend. High temperatures for
the 4th of July through Sunday will be in the lower 90s with heat
indices generally 3 to 5 degrees above the temperature.

Models continue to bring a cold front toward the middle
Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys late in the weekend and
slowly push it south into the PAH forecast are through Tuesday.
Chances of showers and thunderstorms will spread into portions
of southwest Indiana, southern Illinois and southeast Missouri
Sunday afternoon into Sunday night, spreading chances across
west Kentucky Monday. Chances will continue through at least
Tuesday, with greatest coverage during the heat of the day.
Temperatures will be a little lower Monday and Tuesday, but it
will remain humid.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 631 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Any lingering MVFR fog will dissipate by around 13z. VFR
conditions expected today with FEW-SCT050 cumulus. Winds will be
from the northwest to north at 5 kts or less, becoming calm
after 00z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...RST