Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
036 FOUS71 KRHA 161950 FFHPA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 332 PM EDT FRI MAY 16 2025 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 250516 Z DH18/DC2505161932/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Chenango River... SHBN6 1.7/ 1.8/ 1.9/ 1.9 :Sherburne (8.5ft) :SHBN6md 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 Sherburne (9) :SHBN6mj 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1 Sherburne (10.6) : Otselic River... CINN6 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.5 :Cincinnatus (9ft) : ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table. : Cohocton River... CMPN6 1.7/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.5 :Campbell (8ft) :CMPN6md 2.8/ 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.0 Campbell (10) :CMPN6mj 3.7/ 4.8/ 5.3/ 5.5 Campbell (11) : Canisteo River... WCRN6 2.2/ 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.2 :West Cameron (17ft) :WCRN6md 2.5/ 3.0/ 3.3/ 3.6 West Cameron (18) :WCRN6mj 3.4/ 4.1/ 4.6/ 5.2 West Cameron (21) : Towanda Creek... MONP1 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.5 :Monroeton (15.5ft) :MONP1md 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.5/ 3.0 Monroeton (17) :MONP1mj 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 4.0 Monroeton (18.5) : Tunkhannock Creek... TNKP1 1.2/ 1.5/ 1.9/ 2.3 :Tunkhannock (11ft) :TNKP1md 1.7/ 2.2/ 2.8/ 3.3 Tunkhannock (14) :TNKP1mj 2.3/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 4.4 Tunkhannock (17) : Lackawanna River... OFRP1 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.2 :Old Forge (11ft) :OFRP1md 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.1 Old Forge (13) :OFRP1mj 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.1/ 5.4 Old Forge (16) : DELAWARE BASIN... : East Branch Delaware River... MRGN6 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.6/ 3.1 :Margaretville (11ft) :MRGN6md 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.5/ 4.2 Margaretville (12) :MRGN6mj 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.6/ 5.5 Margaretville (13) : West Branch Delaware River... WALN6 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.0 :Walton (11.5ft) :WALN6md 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.0 Walton (14) :WALN6mj 4.1/ 4.5/ 4.6/ 4.8 Walton (16) : Beaverkill Creek... CKFN6 1.2/ 1.6/ 2.1/ 2.5 :Cooks Falls (10ft) :CKFN6md 3.0/ 4.1/ 5.4/ 6.6 Cooks Falls (16) :CKFN6mj 3.8/ 5.3/ 7.1/ 8.0 Cooks Falls (18) : Lackawaxen River... HWYP1 3.2/ 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.2 :Hawley (14ft) :HWYP1md 6.3/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Hawley (20) :HWYP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Hawley (22) : : NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioga River... MFDP1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.1 :Mansfield (12ft) :MFDP1md 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.8 Mansfield (13) :MFDP1mj 3.2/ 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.8 Mansfield (14) : Penns Creek... PNCP1 0.9/ 1.0/ 1.1/ 1.1 :Penns Creek (8ft) :PNCP1md 1.4/ 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.0 Penns Creek (10) :PNCP1mj 2.2/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.5 Penns Creek (12) : Frankstown Branch Juniata River... WIBP1 1.1/ 1.2/ 1.5/ 1.6 :Williamsburg (12ft) :WIBP1md 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.8/ 1.9 Williamsburg (13) :WIBP1mj 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.5 Williamsburg (15) : Little Juniata River... SPKP1 1.1/ 1.2/ 1.5/ 1.7 :Spruce Creek (8ft) :SPKP1md 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.3/ 2.6 Spruce Creek (10) :SPKP1mj 2.7/ 3.1/ 4.0/ 4.6 Spruce Creek (14) : Aughwick Creek... SLYP1 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1 :Shirleysburg (10ft) :SLYP1md 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9 Shirleysburg (12) :SLYP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Shirleysburg (20) : Sherman Creek... SMDP1 1.2/ 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.5 :Shermans Dale (9ft) :SMDP1md 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.2 Shermans Dale (11) :SMDP1mj 3.6/ 4.0/ 4.7/ 4.9 Shermans Dale (16) : Conodoguinet Creek... HGSP1 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1 :Hogestown (8ft) :HGSP1md 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 Hogestown (10) :HGSP1mj 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.6 Hogestown (12) : Yellow Breeches Creek... CPHP1 1.9/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0 :Camp Hill (7ft) :CPHP1md 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.7 Camp Hill (9) :CPHP1mj 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.2 Camp Hill (13) : Swatara Creek... HTVP1 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.2 :Harper Tavern (9ft) :HTVP1md 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 Harper Tavern (12) :HTVP1mj 2.9/ 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.3 Harper Tavern (15) : Conestoga River... LNCP1 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0 :Lancaster (11ft) :LNCP1md 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.9 Lancaster (13) :LNCP1mj 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.4/ 3.7 Lancaster (15) : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... LGVP1 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.7 :Landingville (8ft) :LGVP1md 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.5/ 1.6 Landingville (12) :LGVP1mj 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.6 Landingville (14) : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... BREP1 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.6/ 2.8 :Berne (12ft) :BREP1md 3.0/ 3.3/ 3.9/ 4.2 Berne (14) :BREP1mj 4.0/ 4.4/ 5.2/ 5.7 Berne (16) : Bush Kill... SHOP1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.1 :Shoemakers (6ft) :SHOP1md 2.6/ 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 Shoemakers (7) :SHOP1mj 3.4/ 3.7/ 3.8/ 3.9 Shoemakers (8) : Brodhead Creek... MNSP1 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.7/ 2.8 :Minisink Hills(10ft) :MNSP1md 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.6/ 3.8 Minisink Hills(12) :MNSP1mj 3.3/ 4.0/ 5.2/ 5.5 Minisink Hills(15) : Little Lehigh Creek... APAP1 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.8/ 3.5 :Allentown-10th (8ft) :APAP1md 3.0/ 3.3/ 3.9/ 5.0 Allentown-10th (10) :APAP1mj 4.0/ 4.4/ 5.3/ 7.0 Allentown-10th (12) : Perkiomen Creek... GRAP1 0.6/ 0.9/ 1.0/ 1.3 :Graterford (11ft) :GRAP1md 0.9/ 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.9 Graterford (13) :GRAP1mj 1.4/ 2.1/ 2.3/ 3.1 Graterford (16) : Neshaminy Creek... LNGP1 0.7/ 0.9/ 0.9/ 1.1 :Langhorne (9ft) :LNGP1md 1.1/ 1.5/ 1.5/ 1.8 Langhorne (10) :LNGP1mj 1.4/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.3 Langhorne (12) : Chester Creek... CHSP1 0.8/ 0.8/ 1.0/ 1.3 :Chester (8ft) :CHSP1md 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.5/ 2.0 Chester (10) :CHSP1mj 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.3 Chester (14) : West Branch Brandywine Creek... MODP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.6/ 3.8 :Modena (9ft) :MODP1md 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 4.5 Modena (10) :MODP1mj 6.5/ 6.9/ 7.4/ 8.0 Modena (12) : East Branch Brandywine Creek... DWNP1 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.7 :Downingtown (7ft) :DWNP1md 1.2/ 1.3/ 1.3/ 1.4 Downingtown (9) :DWNP1mj 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.5 Downingtown (11) : Brandywine Creek... CDFP1 0.8/ 1.1/ 1.4/ 1.5 :Chadds Ford (9ft) :CDFP1md 1.1/ 1.6/ 2.0/ 2.2 Chadds Ford (11) :CDFP1mj 1.5/ 2.2/ 2.7/ 2.9 Chadds Ford (13) : Christina River... CHBD1 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.6 :Coochs Brdg(11ft) :CHBD1md 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.3/ 3.3 Coochs Brdg(12) :CHBD1mj 2.4/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.4 Coochs Brdg(13) : White Clay Creek... DPKD1 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.7/ 2.3 :Delaware Pk (13ft) :DPKD1md 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.2 Delaware Pk (15) :DPKD1mj 3.2/ 3.4/ 3.7/ 4.8 Delaware Pk (16.5) : Red Clay Creek... RCCD1 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.5 :Wooddale (7ft) :RCCD1md 2.3/ 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.5 Wooddale (8.5) :RCCD1mj 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.6/ 4.5 Wooddale (10) .END MARFC will discontinue this water supply guidance on May 23, 2025 If you have questions, please contact robert.shedd@noaa.gov UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)... .BR RHA 20250516 Z DH18/DC2505161950/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3 .B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6 : RAINFALL :IDENT 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 LOCATION :======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= ======= ================ CANN6DEL 407/ 1372/ 2836/ 6686/ 11605/ 23704 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi DWNN6DEL 344/ 1087/ 2251/ 5422/ 9564/ 19823 :PEPACTON-372sqmi LKWP1WPK 115/ 459/ 1023/ 2577/ 4616/ 9860 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm NVRN6NVR 96/ 290/ 575/ 1299/ 2207/ 4421 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi .END :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... .B RHA 250516 Z DH18/DC2505161932/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages : Lackawanna River... ARHP1 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.8 :Archbald (8ft) :ARHP1md 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.6 Archbald (9) :ARHP1mj 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.5 Archbald (10) PKIP1 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.6 :Scranton (7.5ft.) :PKIP1md 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.8 Scranton (8) :PKIP1mj 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.3 Scranton (9.5) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E ARHP1 20250516 DC2505161950/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 3.8/3.9/3.8/4.0/3.9/3.8/3.7/3.6 .E PKIP1 20250516 DC2505161950/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 3.9/3.9/3.5/3.4/3.3/3.2/3.1/2.9 $$ NNNN