Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS

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833
FOUS71 KRHA 150750
FFHPA2
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
232 AM EST FRI NOV 15 2024

APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT
THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.

.B RHA 241115 Z DH06/DC2411150732/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:
:IDENT    1HR   3HR   6HR  12HR  HEADWATER NAME
:======= ====  ====  ====  ====  ====================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Chenango River...
SHBN6     3.2/  3.4/  3.4/  3.4 :Sherburne (8.5ft)
:SHBN6md  3.8/  4.0/  4.1/  4.1  Sherburne (9)
:SHBN6mj  4.4/  4.7/  4.8/  4.8  Sherburne (10.6)
:  Otselic River...
CINN6     4.7/  4.9/  5.3/  5.4 :Cincinnatus (9ft)
: ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table.
:  Cohocton River...
CMPN6     2.6/  3.2/  3.5/  3.6 :Campbell (8ft)
:CMPN6md  3.8/  4.6/  5.0/  5.2  Campbell (10)
:CMPN6mj  4.7/  5.9/  6.5/  6.7  Campbell (11)
:  Canisteo River...
WCRN6     3.6/  4.1/  4.4/  4.8 :West Cameron (17ft)
:WCRN6md  3.9/  4.5/  4.8/  5.2  West Cameron (18)
:WCRN6mj  4.8/  5.6/  6.2/  6.7  West Cameron (21)
:  Towanda Creek...
MONP1     3.7/  3.7/  3.8/  4.3 :Monroeton (15.5ft)
:MONP1md  4.1/  4.2/  4.3/  4.9  Monroeton (17)
:MONP1mj  4.8/  4.9/  5.1/  5.8  Monroeton (18.5)
:  Tunkhannock Creek...
TNKP1     3.0/  3.4/  4.0/  4.5 :Tunkhannock (11ft)
:TNKP1md  3.6/  4.2/  5.0/  5.6  Tunkhannock (14)
:TNKP1mj  4.2/  5.0/  5.9/  6.8  Tunkhannock (17)
:  Lackawanna River...
OFRP1     4.8/  5.3/  5.9/  6.3 :Old Forge (11ft)
:OFRP1md  5.4/  6.1/  6.7/  7.2  Old Forge (13)
:OFRP1mj  6.4/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Old Forge (16)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  East Branch Delaware River...
MRGN6     3.8/  4.2/  4.7/  5.3 :Margaretville (11ft)
:MRGN6md  4.5/  4.9/  5.7/  6.4  Margaretville (12)
:MRGN6mj  5.2/  5.8/  6.8/  7.9  Margaretville (13)
:  West Branch Delaware River...
WALN6     2.8/  2.9/  3.0/  3.0 :Walton (9.5ft)
:WALN6md  4.4/  4.7/  4.7/  4.9  Walton (14)
:WALN6mj  5.8/  6.3/  6.4/  6.7  Walton (16)
:  Beaverkill Creek...
CKFN6     2.8/  3.4/  4.0/  4.5 :Cooks Falls (10ft)
:CKFN6md  4.8/  6.0/  7.4/  8.0  Cooks Falls (16)
:CKFN6mj  5.6/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Cooks Falls (18)
:  Lackawaxen River...
HWYP1     5.9/  6.6/  6.9/  7.2 :Hawley (14ft)
:HWYP1md  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Hawley (20)
:HWYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Hawley (22)
:
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Tioga River...
MFDP1     4.0/  4.1/  4.4/  5.0 :Mansfield (12ft)
:MFDP1md  4.4/  4.6/  4.9/  5.7  Mansfield (13)
:MFDP1mj  5.0/  5.2/  5.6/  6.7  Mansfield (14)
:  Penns Creek...
PNCP1     3.0/  3.4/  3.7/  4.0 :Penns Creek (8ft)
:PNCP1md  3.6/  4.2/  4.6/  4.9  Penns Creek (10)
:PNCP1mj  4.5/  5.3/  5.8/  6.3  Penns Creek (12)
:  Frankstown Branch Juniata River...
WIBP1     2.0/  2.2/  2.6/  2.9 :Williamsburg (12ft)
:WIBP1md  2.2/  2.4/  2.9/  3.2  Williamsburg (13)
:WIBP1mj  2.7/  2.9/  3.5/  3.8  Williamsburg (15)
:  Little Juniata River...
SPKP1     1.8/  2.1/  2.5/  2.9 :Spruce Creek (8ft)
:SPKP1md  2.4/  2.7/  3.3/  3.7  Spruce Creek (10)
:SPKP1mj  3.6/  4.1/  5.0/  5.7  Spruce Creek (14)
:  Aughwick Creek...
SLYP1     2.7/  2.7/  2.8/  3.0 :Shirleysburg (10ft)
:SLYP1md  3.4/  3.4/  3.5/  3.7  Shirleysburg (12)
:SLYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Shirleysburg (20)
:  Sherman Creek...
SMDP1     3.4/  3.6/  4.0/  4.1 :Shermans Dale (9ft)
:SMDP1md  4.0/  4.3/  4.7/  4.8  Shermans Dale (11)
:SMDP1mj  6.0/  6.6/  7.4/  7.7  Shermans Dale (16)
:  Conodoguinet Creek...
HGSP1     4.4/  4.4/  4.4/  4.5 :Hogestown (8ft)
:HGSP1md  5.5/  5.5/  5.5/  5.6  Hogestown (10)
:HGSP1mj  6.5/  6.8/  6.8/  6.9  Hogestown (12)
:  Yellow Breeches Creek...
CPHP1     4.5/  4.6/  4.6/  4.7 :Camp Hill (7ft)
:CPHP1md  5.2/  5.3/  5.4/  5.5  Camp Hill (9)
:CPHP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Camp Hill (13)
:  Swatara Creek...
HTVP1     3.5/  3.5/  3.7/  3.9 :Harper Tavern (9ft)
:HTVP1md  4.4/  4.5/  4.7/  5.0  Harper Tavern (12)
:HTVP1mj  5.5/  5.7/  5.9/  6.3  Harper Tavern (15)
:  Conestoga River...
LNCP1     3.9/  4.0/  4.2/  4.5 :Lancaster (11ft)
:LNCP1md  4.7/  4.8/  5.0/  5.4  Lancaster (13)
:LNCP1mj  5.4/  5.6/  5.9/  6.3  Lancaster (15)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
LGVP1     3.2/  3.3/  3.4/  3.6 :Landingville (8ft)
:LGVP1md  4.0/  4.3/  4.5/  4.9  Landingville (12)
:LGVP1mj  4.8/  5.2/  5.5/  6.0  Landingville (14)
:
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
BREP1     4.7/  5.0/  5.7/  6.1 :Berne (12ft)
:BREP1md  5.8/  6.1/  7.0/  7.6  Berne (14)
:BREP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Berne (16)
:  Bush Kill...
SHOP1     5.2/  5.5/  5.6/  5.7 :Shoemakers (6ft)
:SHOP1md  6.0/  6.4/  6.5/  6.7  Shoemakers (7)
:SHOP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  7.7  Shoemakers (8)
:  Brodhead Creek...
MNSP1     4.9/  5.6/  6.5/  6.8 :Minisink Hills(10ft)
:MNSP1md  5.7/  6.4/  7.4/  7.9  Minisink Hills(12)
:MNSP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Minisink Hills(15)
:  Little Lehigh Creek...
APAP1     4.5/  4.8/  5.3/  6.2 :Allentown-10th (8ft)
:APAP1md  5.5/  5.8/  6.5/  7.7  Allentown-10th (10)
:APAP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Allentown-10th (12)
:  Perkiomen Creek...
GRAP1     3.0/  3.5/  3.8/  4.4 :Graterford (11ft)
:GRAP1md  3.3/  4.0/  4.3/  5.1  Graterford (13)
:GRAP1mj  4.0/  4.9/  5.2/  6.3  Graterford (16)
:  Neshaminy Creek...
LNGP1     2.7/  3.2/  3.3/  3.6 :Langhorne (9ft)
:LNGP1md  3.4/  3.9/  4.0/  4.5  Langhorne (10)
:LNGP1mj  3.8/  4.4/  4.5/  5.1  Langhorne (12)
:  Chester Creek...
CHSP1     2.8/  2.8/  3.1/  3.8 :Chester (8ft)
:CHSP1md  3.3/  3.4/  3.8/  4.6  Chester (10)
:CHSP1mj  4.3/  4.5/  4.9/  6.0  Chester (14)
:  West Branch Brandywine Creek...
MODP1     5.5/  5.7/  6.0/  6.3 :Modena (9ft)
:MODP1md  6.0/  6.3/  6.7/  7.0  Modena (10)
:MODP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Modena (12)
:  East Branch Brandywine Creek...
DWNP1     2.6/  2.6/  2.7/  2.8 :Downingtown (7ft)
:DWNP1md  3.5/  3.5/  3.7/  3.9  Downingtown (9)
:DWNP1mj  4.5/  4.6/  4.7/  5.1  Downingtown (11)
:  Brandywine Creek...
CDFP1     2.4/  2.9/  3.4/  3.5 :Chadds Ford (9ft)
:CDFP1md  2.8/  3.6/  4.1/  4.3  Chadds Ford (11)
:CDFP1mj  3.3/  4.3/  4.9/  5.2  Chadds Ford (13)
:  Christina River...
CHBD1     2.2/  2.4/  2.7/  3.7 :Coochs Brdg(11ft)
:CHBD1md  2.6/  2.8/  3.3/  4.4  Coochs Brdg(12)
:CHBD1mj  3.3/  3.6/  4.1/  5.5  Coochs Brdg(13)
:  White Clay Creek...
DPKD1     2.5/  2.6/  2.9/  3.5 :Delaware Pk (13ft)
:DPKD1md  3.3/  3.4/  3.7/  4.5  Delaware Pk (15)
:DPKD1mj  4.5/  4.7/  5.0/  6.2  Delaware Pk (16.5)
:  Red Clay Creek...
RCCD1     2.8/  3.1/  3.4/  3.9 :Wooddale (7ft)
:RCCD1md  3.6/  3.9/  4.3/  5.0  Wooddale (8.5)
:RCCD1mj  4.4/  4.7/  5.1/  6.0  Wooddale (10)
.END

UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE

APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...

.BR RHA 20241115 Z DH06/DC2411150750/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6
:                 RAINFALL
:IDENT    0.1    0.5    1.0    2.0     3.0     5.0   LOCATION
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= =======  ================
CANN6DEL    44/   235/   597/  1976/   4496/  13019 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi
DWNN6DEL    24/   134/   364/  1373/   3397/  10632 :PEPACTON-372sqmi
LKWP1WPK    18/    18/    18/    18/     18/     18 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm
NVRN6NVR     6/    33/    85/   288/    677/   2080 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi
.END

:===============================================================
:          EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT
:      NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION
:===============================================================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
.B RHA 241115 Z DH06/DC2411150732/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:GageID   1hr   3hr   6hr   12hr  rainfall for indicated stages
:  Lackawanna River...
ARHP1     4.2/  4.3/  4.7/  5.6 :Archbald (8ft)
:ARHP1md  4.8/  5.0/  5.4/  6.5  Archbald (9)
:ARHP1mj  5.5/  5.6/  6.2/  7.5  Archbald (10)
PKIP1     3.7/  3.8/  3.9/  4.3 :Scranton (7.5ft.)
:PKIP1md  3.9/  4.0/  4.2/  4.5  Scranton (8)
:PKIP1mj  4.4/  4.5/  4.6/  5.1  Scranton (9.5)
.END
: Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF...
.E ARHP1 20241115 DC2411150750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8
.E PKIP1 20241115 DC2411150750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 1.0/1.0/1.0/1.0/1.0/1.0/1.0/1.0
$$
NNNN