Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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112 FXUS64 KOUN 300820 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 320 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 220 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2024 - Above average temperatures through much of the next week. - A cold front brings breezy north wings and slightly cooler temperatures Tuesday. - No precipitation chances through the next 7 days. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 220 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2024 Ridging centered across the southwestern US will build into the area a bit more today as mid-level temperatures also warm a bit. This will help boost high temperatures a few more degrees over yesterday`s readings, with most of the area seeing high temperatures near or above 90 degrees today with plenty of sunshine. A cold front will enter northern Oklahoma around midnight tonight bringing a northerly wind shift but not much change in temperature. Winds across northern Oklahoma could potentially gust near or over 30 mph at times late tonight into Tuesday morning, but as of now are expected to remain below advisory criteria. Lows tonight will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Ware && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 220 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2024 It is hard to imagine a much quieter period of weather than what is forecast for the upcoming week, with above average temperatures and hardly even a cloud to be found through the weekend. Still, there are a few features of note. The first will be a brief cooldown on Tuesday for parts of the area, with breezy northerly winds helping drop temperatures closer to average across central and northern Oklahoma behind tonight`s cold front. Further south, warmer temperatures will persist across southern Oklahoma and western north Texas as the front weakens Tuesday, with highs near 90 degrees. No precipitation is forecast with the front as moisture and upper forcing will be lacking. Cooler temperatures will not last long as southerly winds will be quick to return on Wednesday as the front washes out and cyclogenesis occurs to our north and west in the lee of the Rockies. Strengthening south/southwest flow (becoming gusty in western Oklahoma) will help boost temperatures to near or above 90 degrees areawide Wednesday and Thursday, with these above average temperatures expected to persist through the upcoming weekend. Ensembles are then fairly evenly split on whether or not a cold front will reach the area early next week and bring cooler temperatures or if the front remains to our north and warmer than average conditions continue. Either way, models are in excellent agreement in little to no chance for precipitation for at least the next 7 days. Ware && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024 VFR will prevail. A few high clouds are trying to make their way into eastern Oklahoma, but not enough to make it interesting in our part of the world. Dewpoints are hovering around 60 in the Durant area, so we may need to watch for the potential for a low cloud or two at KDUA, but confidence is not high enough to include in the TAF just yet. Fox && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 89 61 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 93 60 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 93 62 90 57 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 96 56 78 52 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 91 60 79 51 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 91 62 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...08 LONG TERM....08 AVIATION...21