089
FXUS64 KOUN 191124
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
524 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 523 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

- Very cold weather through Tuesday.

- Chances for snow possible Monday, with some accumulations
  possible in the north.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 217 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

Northerly winds will continue throughout the day today, although
wind speeds will gradually relax into the afternoon. Given the
persistent cold air advection, afternoon highs will only get up to
the 20s by the afternoon. A surface high will continue to build
across the northern and central Plains, eventually creeping into
northern Oklahoma. Although wind speeds will come down, expect
another cold night tonight with lows in the teens across the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 217 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

Residual cold air on Monday morning will help lows get down into
the low teens. Veering of the surface winds will not last too long
before another cold front pushes into the area Monday ahead of
the next system. Afternoon highs will once again only get into the
20s across the entire area. This cold front, however, will bring
snow chances across western and northwestern Oklahoma Monday.
Synoptic forcing appears to be weak, so overall probabilities of 1
inch of snowfall is 50-80% across western and northwestern
Oklahoma. In addition to snow chances, this cold front will bring
another shot of colder air across the area, with overnight lows in
the single digits across the northern third of the area, and low
teens elsewhere. Wind chills during this timeframe are expected to
be below -5F in northwestern and western Oklahoma, and single
digits across the rest of the area. That being said, a Cold
Weather Advisory has been issued for western and northwestern
Oklahoma for the dangerous wind chills.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 217 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

A brief warm up is expected as surface winds turn back around to
the south by mid week. Models suggest another system later in the
week, which will bring another cold front back through the area.
Overall strength of this front is still uncertain. Dry conditions
are expected through the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

Wind speeds are on the down trend, becoming light by mid to
late morning at most sites. Winds will shift from northerly to
southerly and easterly this afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  29  17  29  11 /   0  10  20  10
Hobart OK         31  18  29  10 /   0  10  20  10
Wichita Falls TX  33  18  34  17 /   0  10   0  10
Gage OK           27  15  23   1 /   0  10  50  10
Ponca City OK     27  13  27   5 /   0   0  20  10
Durant OK         33  17  33  19 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Monday night to 9 AM CST
     Tuesday for OKZ004-005-009-010-014>016-021-022.

TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...14