Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 180700
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ridge FI-210 Burn Plots...NYS Dept of Environ Conserv
National Weather Service New York NY
300 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions today, with light north winds this morning
becoming south late this afternoon. Min RH values in the 35-45
percent range.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southwest 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................15 to 31.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   10  9   18  18  28  34  31  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  54  58  60  62  63  63  63  63
RH..............74  61  53  47  44  43  43  43  44
20 FT wind dir..010 010 010 050 140 180 190 210 220
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   5   5   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 2.0 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.3
Transp wind dir.010 000 000 310 220 180 200 240 260
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
ADI.............15  24  30  31  28  25  25  24  22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 3 mph shifting to the south 2 to
                    5 mph in the late evening and overnight.
ADI.................0 to 15.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  32  33  27  26  22  17  17  22  18  25  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  55  53  51  51  51  51  51  51  49  48  52
RH..............53  64  71  77  80  80  83  86  89  96  100 83
20 FT wind dir..210 200 190 180 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160
20 FT wind spd..3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.240 210 190 180 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160
Transp wind spd.3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   3   2   2
ADI.............15  8   2   0   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 11 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 8 mph increasing to 23 to 25 mph.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 69 in the
                    afternoon in the morning and early afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  37  33  23  26  28  29  33  37  40  43  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  50  54  59  64  67  69  69  69  69  69  68
RH..............100 100 96  87  73  65  61  63  63  66  66  70
20 FT wind dir..160 150 150 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   3   5   6   8   10  11  11  11  10
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  11  12  8   18  19  20  20  20  19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.3 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.7
Transp wind dir.160 160 150 160 180 190 190 190 190 190 190 180
Transp wind spd.2   2   5   8   13  17  21  23  24  25  25  25
ADI.............4   6   12  25  40  54  62  66  69  M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...NV
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523814.0/OKX
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov