Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
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990
FNUS71 KOKX 222140
FWSOKX
Spot Forecast for Jennings Creek Fire...DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
440 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0615 EST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
One to three inches of rain or liquid equivalent snowfall has
fallen over the last 48 hours. An intensifying low pressure
system will exit the area on Saturday. NW winds of 20 to 30 mph
and gusts 35 to 45 mph are expected to develop Saturday morning
and continue into the evening, with min RH values in the 70
percent range. Drying conditions, with westerly wind gusts of 30
to 40 mph continue on Sunday with min rh values in the 50 percent
range.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Snow showers and
slight chance of rain showers in the morning,
then snow in the afternoon and evening. Snow
likely and chance of rain overnight.
CWR.................90 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........35 at forecast start...Min 32.
RH..................96 percent at forecast start...Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 13 mph at forecast
start...otherwise North winds 5 to 13 mph with
gusts to around 23 mph.
ADI.................64 early in the evening decreasing to 7 late in
the night.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........99 98 97 95 94 93 93 94 93 93 94 92 92 92 91 90 91 89 89 88 83 79 73 56
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW SW SW SW SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN RS RS RS
Tstm cov........
CWR.............90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 90 70 70 70 30 30 30 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............35 34 35 35 35 35 34 33 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 33 34 34 34 35 35 34
RH..............96 89 89 96 96 92 92 96 100 100 100 100 96 96 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..250 240 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 160 160 150 130 120 100 060 040 030 010 000 000 350 340 340
20 FT wind spd..12 13 12 12 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 8
20 FT wind gust.23 23 23 23 18 17 16 16 10 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 13 16 16
ADI.............31 37 45 53 60 63 64 49 41 33 26 19 13 9 7 7 7 7 8 10 13 17 20 19
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 45.
RH..................Min 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
increasing to 31 mph late in the morning.
ADI.................20 early in the morning increasing to 106 in
the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46 39 36 44 48 45 48 50 48 53 56 56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............34 33 34 37 39 41 42 43 43 44 43 42
RH..............96 100 100 100 92 89 86 86 86 79 82 86
20 FT wind dir..330 320 320 310 310 310 310 310 310 310 310 310
20 FT wind spd..8 9 11 12 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 14
20 FT wind gust.16 17 18 21 23 24 25 25 25 25 24 23
ADI.............20 27 47 71 92 100 103 103 106 106 101 86
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 11 to 14 mph with gusts to
around 22 mph.
ADI.................29 to 67.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47 47 45 50 57 51 51 55 53 50 46 43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............41 40 40 40 40 40 40 39 39 38 38 37
RH..............89 92 92 92 92 92 89 89 85 89 85 85
20 FT wind dir..300 300 300 300 300 300 290 290 290 290 290 290
20 FT wind spd..14 13 12 11 11 12 12 13 13 13 12 11
20 FT wind gust.21 22 21 19 18 19 19 20 20 20 19 18
ADI.............67 49 39 33 31 29 29 32 35 39 45 51
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 47.
RH..................Min 68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
ADI.................59 early in the morning increasing to 149 in
the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41 40 43 46 49 49 48 48 48 47 47 47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............37 37 38 40 42 44 45 47 47 47 46 44
RH..............85 85 85 85 82 76 73 68 68 68 71 76
20 FT wind dir..290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290
20 FT wind spd..11 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 9 8 7
20 FT wind gust.18 18 16 17 25 25 25 25 24 23 22 21
ADI.............59 68 80 93 104 112 117 122 137 149 145 117
$$
Forecaster...NV
Requested by...Charles Kabrehl
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427095.2/OKX
.DELDT 11/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.kabrehl@dec.ny.gov