Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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546
FNUS71 KOKX 150925
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Jennings Fire...Orange County, NYS
National Weather Service New York NY
425 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions continue through Saturday. Minimum
RH values will be between 20 and 40 percent today. Winds will be out
of the northwest around 10-15 mph, with gusts to 20 mph. Min RH
values remain low on Saturday, between 20 and 30 percent, but
winds pick up. Sustained northwest winds around 15-20 mph, with
gusts up to 25 mph can be expected, with isolated gusts to 30 mph
possible.


.6 PM THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........39 at forecast start...Max 43.
RH..................50 percent at forecast start...Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 2 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds.
ADI.................21.

TIME (EST)      5PM
Sky (%).........92
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
LAL.............1
Temp............39
RH..............50
20 FT wind dir..080
20 FT wind spd..2
20 FT wind gust.
ADI.............21

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
ADI.................0 to 11.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93  94  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 94  89  91
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  36  35  34  34  33  33  32  32  35  35  34
RH..............52  56  59  58  58  58  56  58  56  61  61  61
20 FT wind dir..080 080 070 040 030 020 010 010 000 350 350 350
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.                                    4   4   4
ADI.............11  3   0   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 56.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 84 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  81  64  59  38  25  14  11  2   1   4   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  32  35  40  43  48  51  54  55  55  53  51
RH..............63  66  61  52  47  39  41  40  40  40  43  44
20 FT wind dir..340 340 340 340 340 330 330 330 330 330 330 330
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   10  10  11  13  13  14  13  14
ADI.............4   7   13  22  33  46  59  70  80  84  80  61

$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Shannon Fisher
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426360.4/OKX
.DELDT 11/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sfisher@orangecountygov.com,griggsby.cowart@dec.ny.gov,spencer.morrissey@dec.ny.gov