Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
240
FNUS51 KOKX 160755
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Light southerly winds continue through Saturday. There will be
chances of showers and thunderstorms each day, but a washout is not
expected. Min RH values will be around 70 percent today and 50 to 70
percent on Saturday.
NYZ212-160900-
New York City-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+7) 62 (+2) 83
RH % (24h trend) 72 (-10) 96 (-1) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 SE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5-9 Lgt/Var S 6-10
Precip Amount 0.06 0.02 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1980 340 4680
Transport Wnd (mph) S 7 S 8 SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 11880 2380 74880
Max ADI Early 11 Poor 9 Poor 23 Fair
Max ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 67 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-160900-
Long Island-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 20 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+8) 57 (0) 79
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-15) 99 (-1) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 6-10
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.07
Precip Duration 0 1 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1530 300 1780
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 6 S 8 SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 7650 2100 24920
Max ADI Early 7 Poor 10 Poor 12 Poor
Max ADI Late 11 Poor 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-160900-
Lower Hudson Valley-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+6) 61 (+2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 70 (-5) 100 (0) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.09 0.04 0.12
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3040 230 5550
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 7 SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27360 1380 105450
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 20 Gen Poor 35 Fair
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 3 Very Poor 96 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-160900-
Western Passaic-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+6) 61 (+2) 80
RH % (24h trend) 73 (-5) 100 (0) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.11
Precip Duration 3 2 4
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2610 170 5710
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 8 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26100 1190 108490
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 18 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 114 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-160900-
Eastern Passaic-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+4) 63 (+3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 73 (-4) 100 (0) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.09
Precip Duration 3 2 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2490 300 5870
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 6 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22410 1500 117400
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 19 Gen Poor 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 3 Very Poor 143 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-160900-
Western Bergen-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+5) 62 (+2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 72 (-6) 100 (0) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 5-9
Precip Amount 0.09 0.04 0.10
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2700 280 5810
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 7 S 7 SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 16200 1680 110390
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 19 Gen Poor 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 3 Very Poor 132 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-160900-
Eastern Bergen-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+5) 63 (+2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 70 (-6) 97 (-2) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.08 0.04 0.10
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2810 350 6070
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 7 S 7 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 16860 2100 121400
Max ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 20 Gen Poor 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 3 Very Poor 148 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-160900-
Western Essex-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+5) 63 (+3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 73 (-6) 99 (-1) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.09
Precip Duration 3 2 4
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2270 190 5890
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 7 SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20430 1140 123690
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 25 Fair 3 Very Poor 148 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-160900-
Eastern Essex-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+4) 64 (+3) 83
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-3) 92 (-6) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 7-11
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.08
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120 420 6300
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 S 7 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 14840 2520 132300
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 16 Gen Poor 39 Fair
Max ADI Late 22 Fair 3 Very Poor 152 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-160900-
Western Union-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+6) 63 (+3) 83
RH % (24h trend) 73 (-5) 98 (-2) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.07
Precip Duration 3 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2460 340 5940
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 7 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24600 2040 124740
Max ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 19 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 3 Very Poor 152 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-160900-
Eastern Union-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+5) 64 (+3) 84
RH % (24h trend) 70 (-3) 95 (-3) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 3 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2090 450 6010
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 7 SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20900 2700 126210
Max ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor 38 Fair
Max ADI Late 21 Fair 3 Very Poor 146 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-160900-
Hudson-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+5) 64 (+3) 84
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-7) 92 (-5) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 SE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5-9 Lgt/Var SW 7-11
Precip Amount 0.07 0.03 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2100 390 5550
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 7 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 18900 2340 111000
Max ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 13 Gen Poor 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-160900-
Northern Fairfield-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+7) 60 (+2) 78
RH % (24h trend) 68 (-9) 100 (0) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.05 0.02 0.10
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3370 240 3630
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 7 SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26960 1440 58080
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 13 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 3 Very Poor 65 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-160900-
Southern Fairfield-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+8) 59 (+1) 79
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-13) 100 (0) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.04 0.02 0.10
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2240 350 3270
Transport Wnd (mph) S 7 S 6 SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13440 1750 45780
Max ADI Early 10 Poor 9 Poor 11 Poor
Max ADI Late 17 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 38 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-160900-
Northern New Haven-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+7) 60 (+1) 77
RH % (24h trend) 66 (-13) 100 (0) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.08
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3390 240 3340
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 6 SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27120 1200 56780
Max ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 20 Gen Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 3 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-160900-
Southern New Haven-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+8) 58 (0) 76
RH % (24h trend) 69 (-15) 100 (0) 72
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1860 340 1690
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 S 6 S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13020 1700 20280
Max ADI Early 9 Poor 9 Poor 8 Poor
Max ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 21 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-160900-
Northern Middlesex-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+7) 59 (0) 76
RH % (24h trend) 66 (-18) 100 (0) 72
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3240 230 2410
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 6 S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32400 1150 38560
Max ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 23 Fair 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 3 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-160900-
Southern Middlesex-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+8) 57 (0) 75
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-22) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.08
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1620 340 1230
Transport Wnd (mph) S 7 S 5 S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 9720 1360 12300
Max ADI Early 7 Poor 8 Poor 8 Poor
Max ADI Late 10 Poor 3 Very Poor 12 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-160900-
Northern New London-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+8) 57 (-1) 74
RH % (24h trend) 64 (-23) 100 (0) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var S 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3090 300 1960
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 6 S 6 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 15450 1500 29400
Max ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 23 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 3 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-160900-
Southern New London-
355 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+9) 56 (0) 72
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-21) 100 (0) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740 340 1140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 7 S 6 S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 10440 1700 13680
Max ADI Early 8 Poor 9 Poor 9 Poor
Max ADI Late 10 Poor 3 Very Poor 13 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers
likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$