Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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208
FNUS51 KOKX 270920
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty westerly flow expected this afternoon and late tonight into
Friday. For late tonight, highest gusts generally along the
coast. Gusts are expected to be lower Friday afternoon. Gusts
highest this afternoon, near 25 to 30 mph. RH lowest this
afternoon, ranging from 15 to 30 percent for much of the area.
Today will have relatively more potential for fire spread.

Some showers are possible late tonight, both rain and/or snow
showers. While not much in terms of liquid equivalent
precipitation is expected (less than a tenth of an inch), the
forecast min RH on Friday is more in the 30 to 40 percent range.
Fire spread potential on Friday will be lower.

Also reducing the fire spread potential for Friday will be the
timing as the gusty winds will be mostly early and then decrease
in the afternoon when RH decreases.


NYZ212-280930-
New York City-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+3)      41 (+6)      61
RH % (24h trend)      19 (-17)     64 (+12)     31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 9-13 G19  SW 5-9 G19   W 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 10-14 G23  SW 6-10 G21  SW 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9650                      6220
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW 16        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     212300       0            136840
Max ADI Early         84 Good      91 Good      64 Good
Max ADI Late          124 Very Good19 Gen Poor  149 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-280930-
Long Island-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+1)      37 (+3)      59
RH % (24h trend)      21 (-15)     71 (+8)      33
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 8-12 G20  SW 4-8 G19   W 7-11 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 9-13 G24   SW 6-10 G23  SW 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9000                      6050
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 24        SW 14        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     189000       0            133100
Max ADI Early         86 Good      83 Good      57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          116 Very Good18 Gen Poor  109 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-280930-
Lower Hudson Valley-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (+2)      31 (+3)      59
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-16)     71 (+7)      30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G19   Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 8-12 G23  SW 3-7       W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9370                      6440
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 23        SW  7        W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     187400       0            135240
Max ADI Early         85 Good      75 Good      72 Good
Max ADI Late          120 Very Good9 Poor       143 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-280930-
Western Passaic-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (+2)      34 (+6)      59
RH % (24h trend)      16 (-17)     70 (+3)      32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 6-10 G23  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9490                      6020
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 24        W  5         W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     199290       0            120400
Max ADI Early         104 Very Good131 Very Good63 Good
Max ADI Late          181 Very Good7 Poor       149 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-280930-
Eastern Passaic-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+4)      37 (+5)      60
RH % (24h trend)      16 (-19)     67 (+8)      32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 4-8 G18   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 8-12 G23  Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9750                      6300
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW  7        W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     214500       0            132300
Max ADI Early         100 Good     84 Good      83 Good
Max ADI Late          138 Very Good8 Poor       168 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-280930-
Western Bergen-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+3)      35 (+4)      61
RH % (24h trend)      16 (-18)     67 (+7)      31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G18   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 7-11 G23  Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9730                      6350
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        W  9         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     214060       0            139700
Max ADI Early         93 Good      82 Good      69 Good
Max ADI Late          134 Very Good8 Poor       171 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-280930-
Eastern Bergen-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+4)      37 (+4)      61
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-19)     64 (+10)     30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G19  SW 3-7 G18   W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 9-13 G23  SW 3-7       W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9750                      6460
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW  9        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     214500       0            142120
Max ADI Early         96 Good      88 Good      71 Good
Max ADI Late          137 Very Good9 Poor       178 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-280930-
Western Essex-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+3)      37 (+5)      61
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-17)     68 (+8)      31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G19   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 8-12 G24  Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9660                      6130
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW  7        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     212520       0            134860
Max ADI Early         97 Good      81 Good      89 Good
Max ADI Late          134 Very Good7 Poor       130 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-280930-
Eastern Essex-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+1)      39 (+5)      61
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-15)     62 (+9)      30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 6-10 G18   SW 3-7 G18   W 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 9-13 G23   SW 3-7       SW 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9320                      6160
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW 10        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     205040       0            135520
Max ADI Early         98 Good      87 Good      118 Very Good
Max ADI Late          125 Very Good9 Poor       175 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-280930-
Western Union-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+2)      36 (+3)      61
RH % (24h trend)      18 (-16)     71 (+10)     32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 5-9 G18    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G23   Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9410                      5830
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW  7        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     207020       0            128260
Max ADI Early         102 Very Good81 Good      96 Good
Max ADI Late          134 Very Good7 Poor       158 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-280930-
Eastern Union-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+2)      39 (+4)      62
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-13)     65 (+12)     31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 6-10 G19   SW 3-7 G19   W 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 9-13 G24   SW 3-7       SW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9590                      6060
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW 10        W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     210980       0            139380
Max ADI Early         99 Good      86 Good      103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          119 Very Good8 Poor       172 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-280930-
Hudson-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (+2)      40 (+5)      62
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-16)     63 (+12)     29
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 7-11 G19   SW 4-8 G19   W 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 9-13 G23   SW 4-8 G18   SW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9510                      6300
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25        SW 13        W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     209220       0            138600
Max ADI Early         96 Good      85 Good      94 Good
Max ADI Late          132 Very Good15 Gen Poor  173 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-280930-
Northern Fairfield-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-1)      32 (+2)      57
RH % (24h trend)      21 (-11)     68 (+9)      30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 4-8 G18   Lgt/Var      W 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 7-11 G22  Lgt/Var      W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9280                      6130
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 23        W  8         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     185600       0            128730
Max ADI Early         88 Good      74 Good      92 Good
Max ADI Late          120 Very Good8 Poor       110 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-280930-
Southern Fairfield-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Clear        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      51 (+1)      35 (+2)      60
RH % (24h trend)      19 (-15)     69 (+12)     30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      W 5-9 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G22   SW 4-8 G20   W 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9270                      6490
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 23        W 12         W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     185400       0            149270
Max ADI Early         86 Good      76 Good      85 Good
Max ADI Late          120 Very Good12 Poor      136 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-280930-
Northern New Haven-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-1)      33 (+3)      57
RH % (24h trend)      20 (-8)      64 (+9)      27
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 4-8 G18   Lgt/Var      W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 7-11 G23  Lgt/Var      W 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9590                      6130
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22        W  9         W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     182210       0            122600
Max ADI Early         86 Good      76 Good      103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          118 Very Good7 Poor       109 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-280930-
Southern New Haven-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-1)      36 (+3)      58
RH % (24h trend)      21 (-12)     66 (+9)      30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G18   Lgt/Var      W 4-8 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 7-11 G23   Lgt/Var      W 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9380                      6350
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22        W 10         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     178220       0            133350
Max ADI Early         90 Good      78 Good      98 Good
Max ADI Late          122 Very Good7 Poor       144 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-280930-
Northern Middlesex-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-3)      34 (+3)      57
RH % (24h trend)      19 (-8)      63 (+9)      25
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G20   Lgt/Var      W 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 8-12 G25  Lgt/Var      W 5-9 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9690                      5960
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22        W  7         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     184110       0            113240
Max ADI Early         89 Good      78 Good      93 Good
Max ADI Late          120 Very Good8 Poor       132 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-280930-
Southern Middlesex-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-1)      36 (+3)      57
RH % (24h trend)      19 (-13)     68 (+8)      29
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G18  Lgt/Var      W 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G23   SW 3-7 G21   W 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9570                      5880
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22        W 12         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     181830       0            129360
Max ADI Early         89 Good      129 Very Good97 Good
Max ADI Late          172 Very Good10 Poor      160 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-280930-
Northern New London-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-2)      31 (0)       56
RH % (24h trend)      22 (-12)     67 (+9)      24
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G20   Lgt/Var      W 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 8-12 G25  Lgt/Var      W 6-10 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10000                     6150
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22        W  6         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     190000       0            116850
Max ADI Early         95 Good      78 Good      92 Good
Max ADI Late          121 Very Good9 Poor       125 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-280930-
Southern New London-
520 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-1)      34 (+1)      56
RH % (24h trend)      23 (-14)     69 (+8)      30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G18  W 3-7 G18    W 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 8-12 G23   SW 3-7 G20   W 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       11 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9880                      5880
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22        W  9         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     187720       0            129360
Max ADI Early         93 Good      77 Good      88 Good
Max ADI Late          119 Very Good9 Poor       136 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$