Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Versions:
1
2
645
FNUS51 KOKX 100632
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remains in control through Saturday afternoon.
Dry conditions will persist with light winds through tonight,
then increasing on Saturday with gusts up to 20 mph at the coast.
Min RH values range from 40 to 50 percent today and 55 to 70
percent on Saturday.
NYZ212-110645-
New York City-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+3) 53 (+6) 69
RH % (24h trend) 48 (+12) 83 (+15) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 4-8 S 4-8 E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 Lgt/Var E 9-13 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5320 250 5350
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 7 E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47880 1500 53500
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 39 Fair 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 61 Good 10 Poor 56 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-110645-
Long Island-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+4) 51 (+7) 69
RH % (24h trend) 48 (+8) 87 (+12) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 S 3-7 E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5220 6020
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 SE 8 SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36540 0 54180
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 39 Fair 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 10 Poor 52 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-110645-
Lower Hudson Valley-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 41 (+6) 67
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+2) 99 (+15) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5260 5740
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 9 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52600 0 45920
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 52 Gen Good 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 74 Good 2 Very Poor 36 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-110645-
Western Passaic-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 44 (+8) 66
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+6) 97 (+16) 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 3-7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5050 5520
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 S 3 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55550 0 38640
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 32 Fair
Max ADI Late 71 Good 1 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-110645-
Eastern Passaic-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+3) 47 (+8) 68
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+12) 93 (+15) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 4-8 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5240 5790
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 7 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52400 0 40530
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 75 Good 2 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-110645-
Western Bergen-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+3) 46 (+8) 68
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+10) 96 (+17) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4-8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5270 5790
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 SW 5 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52700 0 40530
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 76 Good 2 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-110645-
Eastern Bergen-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+3) 49 (+7) 69
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+11) 89 (+16) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 5-9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5300 5870
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 E 5 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 42400 0 46960
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 74 Good 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-110645-
Western Essex-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 47 (+7) 69
RH % (24h trend) 47 (+12) 91 (+15) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 5-9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5230 5460
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 7 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47070 0 43680
Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 73 Good 3 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-110645-
Eastern Essex-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 52 (+9) 69
RH % (24h trend) 48 (+15) 80 (+11) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 6-10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5310 5340
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 NE 5 SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47790 0 48060
Max ADI Early 52 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 74 Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-110645-
Western Union-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 48 (+8) 68
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+15) 90 (+12) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 5-9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5250 5200
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 7 SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47250 0 46800
Max ADI Early 54 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 70 Good 2 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-110645-
Eastern Union-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 51 (+8) 69
RH % (24h trend) 47 (+14) 82 (+11) 65
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 Lgt/Var E 6-10 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5350 5270
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 NE 3 E 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48150 0 42160
Max ADI Early 55 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 71 Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-110645-
Hudson-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 53 (+8) 69
RH % (24h trend) 47 (+13) 82 (+15) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 S 4-8 NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 Lgt/Var E 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5310 250 5390
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 7 SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47790 1500 53900
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 39 Fair 23 Fair
Max ADI Late 64 Good 9 Poor 54 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-110645-
Northern Fairfield-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+3) 44 (+9) 66
RH % (24h trend) 44 (+4) 98 (+17) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5160 5850
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 9 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 51600 0 46800
Max ADI Early 34 Fair 47 Gen Good 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 67 Good 2 Very Poor 40 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-110645-
Southern Fairfield-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 48 (+7) 68
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+7) 91 (+16) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 3-7 Lgt/Var E 7-11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5180 6040
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 SE 7 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46620 0 48320
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 47 Gen Good 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 66 Good 8 Poor 46 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-110645-
Northern New Haven-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+3) 44 (+9) 68
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+4) 97 (+16) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 Lgt/Var SE 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5190 6200
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 5 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 51900 0 49600
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 48 Gen Good 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 68 Good 2 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-110645-
Southern New Haven-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 48 (+10) 69
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+7) 90 (+11) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5160 6290
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 7 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46440 0 50320
Max ADI Early 24 Fair 44 Gen Good 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 63 Good 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-110645-
Northern Middlesex-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+3) 44 (+9) 67
RH % (24h trend) 42 (+4) 97 (+11) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5310 6220
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 6 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 53100 0 49760
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 44 Gen Good 31 Fair
Max ADI Late 64 Good 2 Very Poor 31 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-110645-
Southern Middlesex-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 48 (+9) 69
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+8) 90 (+10) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5190 6590
Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 7 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 41520 0 52720
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 41 Gen Good 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 59 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 35 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-110645-
Northern New London-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+3) 43 (+9) 66
RH % (24h trend) 43 (+5) 100 (+13) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5240 6160
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 5 SE 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52400 0 36960
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 42 Gen Good 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 63 Good 2 Very Poor 26 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-110645-
Southern New London-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+2) 47 (+10) 67
RH % (24h trend) 47 (+9) 90 (+7) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5210 6250
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 S 8 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46890 0 50000
Max ADI Early 32 Fair 40 Fair 26 Fair
Max ADI Late 59 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 31 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Windy. Cloudy with rain likely. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 25 to
35 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND COLUMBUS DAY...Windy, rain. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Rain likely.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds 20 to
30 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs around 60. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$