Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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174
FNUS51 KOKX 110801
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A strong W and WNW flow takes places for today and tonight, with
the winds gradually lessening into Friday. Dry conditions will
prevail with minimum RH levels mainly 35 to 50 percent the next
couple of days.


NYZ212-120815-
New York City-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-12)     25 (-8)      35
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-14)     60 (-24)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 15-19 G31 W 16-20 G37  W 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 17-21 G38  W 13-17 G31  W 9-13 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5910         950          3980
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 35         W 26         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     177300       21850        67660
Max ADI Early         95 Good      36 Fair
Max ADI Late          111 Very Good30 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-120815-
Long Island-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      37 (-12)     22 (-11)     35
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-22)     66 (-21)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 16-20 G32 W 18-22 G38  W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 17-21 G37  W 15-19 G34  W 11-15 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6610         2390         3880
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 36         W 28         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     204910       57360        65960
Max ADI Early         94 Good      47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          124 Very Good46 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-120815-
Lower Hudson Valley-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      32 (-9)      17 (-10)     33
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-17)     71 (-24)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G31 W 12-16 G36  W 7-11 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 13-17 G35  W 9-13 G30   W 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6040         850          3970
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 36         NW 18        W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     187240       13600        71460
Max ADI Early         94 Good      33 Fair
Max ADI Late          117 Very Good27 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-120815-
Western Passaic-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      31 (-10)     18 (-8)      33
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-17)     70 (-27)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G30 W 10-14 G34  W 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 10-14 G34  W 7-11 G29   W 4-8 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6110         1480         3980
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 37         W 23         NW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     195520       29600        71640
Max ADI Early         98 Good      37 Fair
Max ADI Late          121 Very Good18 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-120815-
Eastern Passaic-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-11)     21 (-10)     34
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-11)     65 (-29)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 11-15 G32 W 10-14 G33  W 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 12-16 G35  W 8-12 G26   W 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6010         1650         4030
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 33         W 14         W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     174290       19800        64480
Max ADI Early         93 Good      32 Fair
Max ADI Late          111 Very Good18 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-120815-
Western Bergen-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-9)      19 (-11)     35
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-15)     67 (-29)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G31 W 9-13 G32   W 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 11-15 G34  W 7-11 G26   W 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6230         1790         4180
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 36         NW 17        W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     193130       26850        71060
Max ADI Early         95 Good      31 Fair
Max ADI Late          118 Very Good14 Gen Poor

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-120815-
Eastern Bergen-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-12)     23 (-9)      34
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-11)     63 (-28)     40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G31 W 11-15 G33  W 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 13-17 G34  W 9-13 G26   W 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6200         1140         4130
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 35         W 21         W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     186000       20520        66080
Max ADI Early         95 Good      29 Fair
Max ADI Late          113 Very Good24 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-120815-
Western Essex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      33 (-12)     22 (-9)      34
RH % (24h trend)      41 (-11)     65 (-29)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G32 W 12-16 G33  W 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 13-17 G35  W 9-13 G26   W 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5900         1130         3990
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 33         W 22         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     171100       21470        59850
Max ADI Early         90 Good      32 Fair
Max ADI Late          112 Very Good23 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-120815-
Eastern Essex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-12)     24 (-8)      35
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-10)     60 (-31)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G32 W 12-16 G33  W 7-11 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G35  W 9-13 G25   W 7-11 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5730         820          4080
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 32         W 22         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     160440       15580        61200
Max ADI Early         91 Good      30 Fair
Max ADI Late          107 Very Good23 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-120815-
Western Union-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-12)     22 (-9)      35
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-9)      65 (-24)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12-16 G30 W 11-15 G33  W 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 13-17 G34  W 8-12 G25   W 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5740         720          3950
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 33         W 22         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     166460       13680        59250
Max ADI Early         90 Good      30 Fair
Max ADI Late          109 Very Good22 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-120815-
Eastern Union-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-12)     24 (-8)      36
RH % (24h trend)      38 (-11)     62 (-26)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 13-17 G34 W 11-15 G35  W 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G38  W 8-12 G26   W 7-11 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5830         790          4020
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 33         W 22         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     169070       15010        60300
Max ADI Early         90 Good      31 Fair
Max ADI Late          109 Very Good25 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-120815-
Hudson-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-12)     25 (-8)      35
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-11)     59 (-26)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 14-18 G31 W 15-19 G33  W 9-13 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 16-20 G35  W 11-15 G26  W 8-12 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5910         1100         4060
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 32         W 22         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     165480       20900        60900
Max ADI Early         95 Good      29 Fair
Max ADI Late          107 Very Good25 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-120815-
Northern Fairfield-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      32 (-13)     19 (-11)     32
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-18)     65 (-29)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 12-16 G30  W 12-16 G33  W 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G35  W 11-15 G26  W 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6100         1510         3670
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 38         W 29         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     201300       37750        66060
Max ADI Early         88 Good      41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          127 Very Good39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-120815-
Southern Fairfield-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-12)     21 (-10)     34
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-16)     64 (-26)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 14-18 G31 W 14-18 G34  W 10-14 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 15-19 G35  W 12-16 G31  W 9-13 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6630         1570         3940
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 37         W 31         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     212160       42390        74860
Max ADI Early         93 Good      42 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          126 Very Good40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-120815-
Northern New Haven-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      33 (-13)     18 (-13)     34
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-22)     64 (-32)     42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 11-15 G31  W 13-17 G35  W 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G36  W 11-15 G27  W 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6070         1530         3800
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 38         W 29         W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     200310       38250        60800
Max ADI Early         86 Good      42 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          124 Very Good38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-120815-
Southern New Haven-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-13)     21 (-13)     34
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-22)     62 (-30)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 12-16 G30  W 13-17 G34  W 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G34  W 11-15 G29  W 9-13 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6700         1220         3940
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 35         W 32         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     201000       34160        70920
Max ADI Early         87 Good      42 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          123 Very Good39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-120815-
Northern Middlesex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      34 (-14)     20 (-12)     33
RH % (24h trend)      44 (-16)     61 (-36)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10-14 G30 W 13-17 G35  W 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G36  W 10-14 G27  W 7-11 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5920         930          4130
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 36         W 25         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     183520       20460        74340
Max ADI Early         83 Good      39 Fair
Max ADI Late          116 Very Good37 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-120815-
Southern Middlesex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      36 (-14)     22 (-12)     35
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-16)     62 (-32)     42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 11-15 G30  W 14-18 G35  W 9-13 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 15-19 G35  W 11-15 G32  W 9-13 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6360         1030         3990
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 35         W 33         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     190800       29870        71820
Max ADI Early         86 Good      46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          122 Very Good42 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-120815-
Northern New London-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      35 (-14)     19 (-13)     33
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-22)     61 (-33)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 10-14 G30  W 13-17 G35  W 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G36  W 11-15 G30  W 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5910         1190         4250
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 36         W 25         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     183210       26180        76500
Max ADI Early         82 Good      38 Fair
Max ADI Late          115 Very Good39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-120815-
Southern New London-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      37 (-13)     21 (-13)     34
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-19)     61 (-30)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 11-15 G30  W 13-17 G36  W 9-13 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 14-18 G36  W 11-15 G34  W 9-13 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6120         1330         4160
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 37         W 33         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     195840       38570        74880
Max ADI Early         81 Good      45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          119 Very Good44 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance
of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 17.
Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 19. Highs
in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$