Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS51 KOKX 040801
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York,
Northern New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut
National Weather Service New York NY
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the area will weaken this morning. A cold
front will pass through this afternoon, followed by strong high
pressure building from the west tonight into Friday.

NYZ212-050815-
New York City-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-2)      19 (-15)     35
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+4)      65 (-13)     40
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3880         290          3010
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 28        NE  8        S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     93120        2030         30100
Max ADI Early         42 Gen Good  38 Fair      20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          72 Good      22 Fair      32 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-050815-
Long Island-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      41 (0)       16 (-13)     38
RH % (24h trend)      44 (+8)      71 (-25)     34
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4560         860          3100
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 32        N 10         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     127680       7740         27900
Max ADI Early         45 Gen Good  43 Gen Good  23 Fair
Max ADI Late          84 Good      27 Fair      31 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-050815-
Lower Hudson Valley-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      38 (0)       6 (-20)      29
RH % (24h trend)      45 (+6)      91 (-9)      35
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4690         220          3010
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 30        N 10         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     121940       1980         36120
Max ADI Early         45 Gen Good  36 Fair      25 Fair
Max ADI Late          89 Good      8 Poor       42 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-050815-
Western Passaic-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      37 (-2)      9 (-17)      29
RH % (24h trend)      49 (+8)      77 (-15)     46
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4640         370          3120
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 31        N  6         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     125280       1850         40560
Max ADI Early         46 Gen Good  37 Fair      31 Fair
Max ADI Late          92 Good      9 Poor       49 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-050815-
Eastern Passaic-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      39 (-3)      13 (-15)     31
RH % (24h trend)      48 (+11)     70 (-18)     46
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4420         190          3000
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 29        N  6         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     110500       950          36000
Max ADI Early         42 Gen Good  34 Fair      28 Fair
Max ADI Late          84 Good      9 Poor       43 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-050815-
Western Bergen-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-1)      12 (-16)     31
RH % (24h trend)      49 (+12)     73 (-12)     44
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4530         210          3030
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 31        N 14         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     122310       2520         39390
Max ADI Early         43 Gen Good  37 Fair      28 Fair
Max ADI Late          88 Good      9 Poor       46 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-050815-
Eastern Bergen-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-2)      15 (-15)     32
RH % (24h trend)      42 (+6)      67 (-14)     43
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4380         110          3000
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 29        N 12         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     109500       1100         33000
Max ADI Early         40 Fair      37 Fair      25 Fair
Max ADI Late          80 Good      9 Poor       40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-050815-
Western Essex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      39 (-2)      14 (-13)     31
RH % (24h trend)      43 (+4)      73 (-23)     46
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4150         80           2940
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 28        N 13         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     99600        880          32340
Max ADI Early         39 Fair      33 Fair      25 Fair
Max ADI Late          77 Good      7 Poor       40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-050815-
Eastern Essex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-2)      18 (-12)     33
RH % (24h trend)      45 (+8)      62 (-16)     46
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3990         370          2900
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 28        N  7         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     95760        2220         31900
Max ADI Early         41 Gen Good  33 Fair      24 Fair
Max ADI Late          74 Good      10 Poor      39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-050815-
Western Union-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      39 (-3)      15 (-11)     32
RH % (24h trend)      50 (+11)     73 (-23)     46
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3830         210          2930
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 26        N  7         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88090        1260         32230
Max ADI Early         40 Fair      31 Fair      24 Fair
Max ADI Late          72 Good      8 Poor       40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-050815-
Eastern Union-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-3)      18 (-12)     34
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+4)      64 (-17)     41
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3900         440          2870
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 26        N  6         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     89700        2200         28700
Max ADI Early         41 Gen Good  32 Fair      24 Fair
Max ADI Late          71 Good      19 Gen Poor  36 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-050815-
Hudson-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      41 (-1)      19 (-13)     34
RH % (24h trend)      40 (+4)      62 (-13)     46
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3920         290          2840
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 28        N  8         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94080        2030         28400
Max ADI Early         41 Gen Good  35 Fair      20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          73 Good      19 Gen Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-050815-
Northern Fairfield-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      38 (0)       9 (-17)      30
RH % (24h trend)      41 (+1)      70 (-22)     31
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550         240          2960
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 33        N 10         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     131950       2160         32560
Max ADI Early         39 Fair      39 Fair      22 Fair
Max ADI Late          95 Good      12 Poor      37 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-050815-
Southern Fairfield-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-1)      13 (-17)     33
RH % (24h trend)      43 (+4)      64 (-24)     33
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550         660          2840
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 32        N  9         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     127400       5280         28400
Max ADI Early         44 Gen Good  41 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          93 Good      17 Gen Poor  32 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-050815-
Northern New Haven-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      39 (0)       9 (-16)      30
RH % (24h trend)      45 (+4)      64 (-36)     29
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4280         300          2960
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 30         N  9         SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     111280       2400         29600
Max ADI Early         35 Fair      38 Fair      20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          87 Good      13 Gen Poor  34 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-050815-
Southern New Haven-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-2)      12 (-15)     33
RH % (24h trend)      44 (+7)      60 (-32)     29
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4400         520          2570
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 30        N  8         S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     114400       3640         20560
Max ADI Early         40 Fair      40 Fair      17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          86 Good      15 Gen Poor  27 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-050815-
Northern Middlesex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      39 (-1)      11 (-14)     30
RH % (24h trend)      47 (+6)      60 (-40)     26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3720         260          2970
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 25         N  8         SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     81840        1820         26730
Max ADI Early         29 Fair      38 Fair      18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          71 Good      14 Gen Poor  32 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-050815-
Southern Middlesex-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-2)      13 (-15)     35
RH % (24h trend)      47 (+10)     59 (-29)     24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4130         670          2640
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 29        N  8         SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     103250       4690         23760
Max ADI Early         40 Fair      40 Fair      17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          78 Good      32 Fair      30 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-050815-
Northern New London-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      38 (-1)      10 (-13)     31
RH % (24h trend)      50 (+8)      58 (-38)     25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3900         300          2970
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 30        N  7         SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     101400       1800         26730
Max ADI Early         29 Fair      42 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          75 Good      14 Gen Poor  34 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-050815-
Southern New London-
301 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (-1)      12 (-15)     34
RH % (24h trend)      50 (+9)      61 (-35)     27
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3710         810          2780
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 26         N  8         SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85330        5670         25020
Max ADI Early         39 Fair      42 Gen Good  18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          76 Good      32 Fair      32 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of light
snow. Lows from the mid teens well inland to the lower 30s in New
York City. Highs from the mid 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10
mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows from the upper
teens well inland to the lower 30s in New York City. Highs from
the mid 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the
teens and 20s. Highs from the mid 20s to lower 30s. North winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows from the single
digits and teens well inland, to the lower 20s in and around New
York City. Highs in the 30s and lower 40s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain
and snow. Lows from the upper teens well inland to the lower 30s
in New York City. Highs from the mid 30s to mid 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.

$$