Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
034
FNUS51 KOKX 150539
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
It will be dry thru Thu, with min RH in the 40s today and in the
30s on Thu. NW winds increase this aftn behind a cold front, with
NW winds continuing on Thu.
NYZ212-160645-
New York City-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+5) 44 (-10) 60
RH % (24h trend) 49 (-26) 69 (-21) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 6-10 N 9-13 G20 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G19 N 8-12 G19 N 11-15 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190 260 5910
Transport Wnd (mph) N 18 N 17 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67040 3900 130020
Max ADI Early 60 Gen Good 61 Good 85 Good
Max ADI Late 72 Good 25 Fair 96 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-160645-
Long Island-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+4) 43 (-11) 59
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-26) 74 (-22) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 6-10 G18 N 11-15 G24 N 11-15 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G22 N 10-14 G23 N 12-16 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3830 290 5730
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 22 N 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 68940 5510 137520
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 67 Good 74 Good
Max ADI Late 78 Good 39 Fair 90 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-160645-
Lower Hudson Valley-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+3) 35 (-13) 58
RH % (24h trend) 48 (-28) 78 (-21) 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 N 5-9 G18 NW 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G19 NW 4-8 N 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4340 290 5340
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 12 N 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 73780 2900 122820
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 71 Good 85 Good
Max ADI Late 96 Good 11 Poor 116 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-160645-
Western Passaic-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+1) 37 (-11) 57
RH % (24h trend) 47 (-27) 74 (-26) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G17 N 3-7 G18 NW 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 5-9 G19 NW 3-7 N 7-11 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4410 250 5350
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 14 N 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83790 3000 128400
Max ADI Early 55 Gen Good 65 Good 82 Good
Max ADI Late 89 Good 10 Poor 116 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-160645-
Eastern Passaic-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+2) 39 (-13) 59
RH % (24h trend) 46 (-25) 72 (-24) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G17 N 5-9 G18 N 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G19 N 3-7 N 8-12 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4560 390 5710
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 12 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 77520 3900 125620
Max ADI Early 53 Gen Good 68 Good 92 Good
Max ADI Late 91 Good 12 Poor 122 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-160645-
Western Bergen-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+3) 38 (-12) 58
RH % (24h trend) 48 (-25) 75 (-23) 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 N 3-7 G17 N 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 6-10 G18 N 3-7 N 7-11 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4630 350 5700
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 12 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 78710 3500 125400
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 66 Good 91 Good
Max ADI Late 91 Good 11 Poor 122 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-160645-
Eastern Bergen-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+4) 40 (-12) 59
RH % (24h trend) 48 (-22) 73 (-23) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 N 5-9 G18 N 5-9 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G18 N 4-8 N 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 420 5780
Transport Wnd (mph) N 18 N 12 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 74560 4200 121380
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 69 Good 89 Good
Max ADI Late 90 Good 18 Gen Poor 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-160645-
Western Essex-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+2) 40 (-12) 59
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-27) 72 (-22) 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 G17 N 6-10 G19 N 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 7-11 G20 N 5-9 N 9-13 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4510 300 5720
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 13 N 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 76670 3300 131560
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 66 Good 92 Good
Max ADI Late 89 Good 17 Gen Poor 118 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-160645-
Eastern Essex-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+4) 43 (-10) 60
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-23) 65 (-26) 31
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 N 6-10 G18 N 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G19 N 5-9 N 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4500 490 5920
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 13 N 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 76500 5390 136160
Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good 66 Good 97 Good
Max ADI Late 88 Good 18 Gen Poor 124 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-160645-
Western Union-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+3) 40 (-12) 60
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-25) 69 (-23) 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 N 6-10 G18 N 5-9 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 7-11 G20 N 4-8 NW 8-12 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4410 400 5850
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 14 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 74970 4800 128700
Max ADI Early 51 Gen Good 66 Good 80 Good
Max ADI Late 88 Good 15 Gen Poor 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-160645-
Eastern Union-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+3) 43 (-10) 61
RH % (24h trend) 42 (-23) 67 (-24) 30
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 N 6-10 G20 NW 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 7-11 G21 N 4-8 N 9-13 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4270 510 6040
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 15 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72590 6630 132880
Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good 66 Good 86 Good
Max ADI Late 88 Good 16 Gen Poor 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-160645-
Hudson-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+5) 44 (-10) 60
RH % (24h trend) 46 (-24) 67 (-23) 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 5-9 N 8-12 G19 N 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G19 N 7-11 G17 N 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4340 430 5860
Transport Wnd (mph) N 18 N 13 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69440 4730 128920
Max ADI Early 62 Good 62 Good 82 Good
Max ADI Late 82 Good 19 Gen Poor 93 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-160645-
Northern Fairfield-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 37 (-13) 55
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-22) 79 (-21) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 6-10 G18 N 6-10 G18 N 8-12 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G21 N 6-10 N 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3590 310 5010
Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 N 13 N 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71800 3410 125250
Max ADI Early 56 Gen Good 69 Good 70 Good
Max ADI Late 87 Good 15 Gen Poor 84 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-160645-
Southern Fairfield-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+4) 39 (-13) 57
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-19) 75 (-22) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 6-10 G17 N 7-11 G19 N 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G19 N 7-11 G18 N 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3770 370 5320
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 16 N 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71630 5180 133000
Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 78 Good 72 Good
Max ADI Late 93 Good 19 Gen Poor 87 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-160645-
Northern New Haven-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+4) 37 (-12) 57
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-31) 78 (-22) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 G18 N 8-12 G21 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G21 N 6-10 G17 N 11-15 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3910 290 5370
Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 N 12 N 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 78200 2900 128880
Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 65 Good 72 Good
Max ADI Late 80 Good 17 Gen Poor 88 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-160645-
Southern New Haven-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+3) 39 (-12) 57
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-26) 74 (-25) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 G17 N 9-13 G21 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 10-14 G21 N 7-11 G19 N 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3880 430 5660
Transport Wnd (mph) N 22 N 15 N 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 73720 5590 135840
Max ADI Early 56 Gen Good 66 Good 76 Good
Max ADI Late 78 Good 21 Fair 91 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-160645-
Northern Middlesex-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+4) 37 (-12) 56
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-29) 80 (-20) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 G18 N 8-12 G21 N 8-12 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G21 N 5-9 G19 N 11-15 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4050 300 5540
Transport Wnd (mph) N 21 N 12 N 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72900 3000 127420
Max ADI Early 56 Gen Good 63 Good 72 Good
Max ADI Late 75 Good 18 Gen Poor 90 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-160645-
Southern Middlesex-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+3) 39 (-12) 58
RH % (24h trend) 50 (-28) 77 (-22) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 G17 N 9-13 G22 N 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G20 N 6-10 G21 N 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070 440 5650
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 15 N 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69190 5720 124300
Max ADI Early 55 Gen Good 62 Good 72 Good
Max ADI Late 81 Good 19 Gen Poor 92 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-160645-
Northern New London-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+5) 37 (-11) 56
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-29) 79 (-21) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 G17 N 7-11 G20 N 8-12 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9-13 G21 N 5-9 G18 N 10-14 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3870 360 5590
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 13 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65790 3960 117390
Max ADI Early 47 Gen Good 61 Good 67 Good
Max ADI Late 73 Good 17 Gen Poor 80 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-160645-
Southern New London-
139 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+4) 38 (-12) 58
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-28) 77 (-22) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 N 8-12 G22 N 8-12 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 8-12 G19 N 6-10 G21 N 10-14 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070 440 5760
Transport Wnd (mph) N 20 N 15 N 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69190 5720 120960
Max ADI Early 46 Gen Good 65 Good 67 Good
Max ADI Late 86 Good 18 Gen Poor 80 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows around 40. Highs
in the lower 60s. North winds 15 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs
in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$