Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
094
FNUS51 KOKX 071006
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A weak low pressure trough will move through early this morning,
followed by a cold frontal passage early this afternoon.
High pressure will then briefly nose in from the west in its wake
later today, and weaken tonight with the approach of another cold
front which should move through on Friday.
For today, min RH will be lower than originally anticipated,
30-35% inland and 35-40% closer to the coast. This plus NW
winds gusting to 20-25 mph and very dry fine fuels will once
again lead to elevated fire growth potential.
For Friday, conditions remain similar if not worse, with min RH
25-35% and W winds gusting up to 25 mph.
For Saturday, min RH 20-30% and NW winds gusting to 20 mph
expected.
NYZ212-081100-
New York City-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-1) 47 (-17) 71
RH % (24h trend) 31 (-21) 73 (-4) 23
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 6-10 G21 NW 6-10 G18 W 8-12 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11-15 G22 NW 3-7 W 13-17 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6160 5350
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 W 12 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 129360 0 133750
Max ADI Early 76 Good 29 Fair 14 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 82 Good 8 Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-081100-
Long Island-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+4) 41 (-19) 69
RH % (24h trend) 32 (-34) 87 (-2) 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 5-9 G20 NW 5-9 G17 W 7-11 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G23 Lgt/Var W 13-17 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6210 5340
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 W 9 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 142830 0 138840
Max ADI Early 84 Good 14 Gen Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 90 Good 6 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-081100-
Lower Hudson Valley-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-7) 36 (-21) 68
RH % (24h trend) 32 (-15) 91 (+3) 25
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 5-9 G21 Lgt/Var W 4-8 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G23 Lgt/Var W 10-14 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6010 5750
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 28 NW 7 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 144240 0 161000
Max ADI Early 95 Good 9 Poor 6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 91 Good 2 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-081100-
Western Passaic-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-5) 40 (-18) 68
RH % (24h trend) 31 (-17) 84 (-5) 25
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G19 Lgt/Var W 3-7 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G21 Lgt/Var NW 8-12 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5750 5670
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 W 5 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 132250 0 158760
Max ADI Early 114 Very Good9 Poor 5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 112 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-081100-
Eastern Passaic-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (-6) 41 (-21) 71
RH % (24h trend) 27 (-14) 85 (+5) 23
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var W 3-7 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G21 Lgt/Var NW 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6330 5870
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 W 3 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 132930 0 152620
Max ADI Early 112 Very Good9 Poor 5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 118 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-081100-
Western Bergen-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (-4) 40 (-21) 71
RH % (24h trend) 29 (-15) 85 (+4) 23
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 4-8 G19 Lgt/Var W 3-7 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G21 Lgt/Var NW 10-14 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6290 5850
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 NW 5 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 138380 0 152100
Max ADI Early 114 Very Good9 Poor 5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 110 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-081100-
Eastern Bergen-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-4) 42 (-22) 71
RH % (24h trend) 30 (-14) 82 (+5) 22
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 5-9 G21 NW 3-7 W 4-8 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G22 Lgt/Var W 11-15 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6350 60 6120
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 NW 6 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 139700 300 159120
Max ADI Early 96 Good 14 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 96 Good 4 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-081100-
Western Essex-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-5) 41 (-19) 71
RH % (24h trend) 28 (-14) 85 (0) 21
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var W 3-7 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G21 Lgt/Var NW 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6360 5790
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 5 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 133560 0 150540
Max ADI Early 106 Very Good9 Poor 6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 113 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-081100-
Eastern Essex-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (-5) 44 (-20) 71
RH % (24h trend) 29 (-12) 78 (0) 22
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6-10 G21 NW 4-8 W 5-9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11-15 G23 Lgt/Var W 12-16 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6290 10 5550
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 8 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 132090 70 144300
Max ADI Early 86 Good 14 Gen Poor 11 Poor
Max ADI Late 89 Good 5 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-081100-
Western Union-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (-4) 41 (-18) 72
RH % (24h trend) 28 (-14) 82 (-5) 21
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 4-8 G19 Lgt/Var W 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G21 Lgt/Var W 10-14 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6230 5930
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 23 NW 7 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 124600 0 160110
Max ADI Early 102 Very Good9 Poor 7 Poor
Max ADI Late 103 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-081100-
Eastern Union-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (-5) 45 (-18) 71
RH % (24h trend) 30 (-10) 75 (-6) 21
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6-10 G21 NW 5-9 W 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11-15 G22 Lgt/Var W 13-17 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6260 5550
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 9 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 131460 0 149850
Max ADI Early 81 Good 13 Gen Poor 11 Poor
Max ADI Late 86 Good 5 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-081100-
Hudson-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-4) 46 (-19) 71
RH % (24h trend) 30 (-14) 72 (-3) 23
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6-10 G21 NW 5-9 W 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11-15 G23 Lgt/Var W 13-17 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6240 5290
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 10 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 131040 0 132250
Max ADI Early 80 Good 14 Gen Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 81 Good 6 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-081100-
Northern Fairfield-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-7) 38 (-19) 67
RH % (24h trend) 31 (-19) 84 (-5) 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var W 3-7 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G21 Lgt/Var W 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6230 5370
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 NW 6 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 143290 0 150360
Max ADI Early 114 Very Good9 Poor 6 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 114 Very Good2 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-081100-
Southern Fairfield-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (-1) 41 (-20) 69
RH % (24h trend) 29 (-28) 78 (-4) 26
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 5-9 G21 NW 4-8 W 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G22 Lgt/Var W 11-15 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6170 20 5570
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 W 9 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 141910 160 150390
Max ADI Early 104 Very Good13 Gen Poor 12 Poor
Max ADI Late 88 Good 4 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-081100-
Northern New Haven-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (-4) 39 (-17) 66
RH % (24h trend) 30 (-20) 89 (+2) 29
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var W 3-7 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G22 Lgt/Var NW 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6390 5530
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 W 3 NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 140580 0 143780
Max ADI Early 107 Very Good10 Poor 5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 121 Very Good2 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-081100-
Southern New Haven-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (0) 40 (-18) 69
RH % (24h trend) 32 (-32) 85 (-5) 29
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G17 Lgt/Var W 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G20 Lgt/Var W 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6290 6070
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 8 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 132090 0 163890
Max ADI Early 103 Very Good9 Poor 7 Poor
Max ADI Late 116 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-081100-
Northern Middlesex-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-5) 38 (-20) 68
RH % (24h trend) 31 (-22) 90 (+2) 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G18 Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9-13 G22 Lgt/Var W 9-13 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6520 6290
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 NW 7 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 143440 0 176120
Max ADI Early 103 Very Good10 Poor 7 Poor
Max ADI Late 121 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-081100-
Southern Middlesex-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 74 (+1) 40 (-19) 68
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-29) 86 (-4) 31
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G17 NW 3-7 W 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G21 Lgt/Var W 10-14 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6170 6100
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 10 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 129570 0 164700
Max ADI Early 96 Good 11 Poor 11 Poor
Max ADI Late 105 Very Good4 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-081100-
Northern New London-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-2) 38 (-18) 68
RH % (24h trend) 33 (-24) 88 (-1) 28
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 3-7 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G21 Lgt/Var W 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6360 5830
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 28 NW 7 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 152640 0 157410
Max ADI Early 104 Very Good9 Poor 5 Very Poor
Max ADI Late 116 Very Good3 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-081100-
Southern New London-
506 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (+1) 40 (-16) 68
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-30) 82 (-10) 30
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 G17 NW 3-7 W 5-9 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8-12 G21 Lgt/Var W 11-15 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6070 5780
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 NW 12 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 133540 0 156060
Max ADI Early 96 Good 15 Gen Poor 9 Poor
Max ADI Late 104 Very Good4 Very Poor
LAL No Tstms No Tstms No Tstms
Haines Index 3 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 20 to 30 percent. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND VETERANS DAY...Showers likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs around 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
Goodman