484
FXUS64 KOHX 131100
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
600 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 558 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

- Rain chances return to the forecast this weekend.

- Above normal temperatures through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 558 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Calm conditions out there tonight as satellite imagery shows no
clouds over Middle TN. This is thanks to our high pressure over
the region. Dewpoints are a little higher tonight than Saturday,
so there will be a better chance for fog to develop early Monday
morning. Winds are calm across the mid state, with dewpoint
depressions between 3-8 degrees. Once we become more saturated
through the night, fog should start to form. There could be some
patchy areas of dense fog for your Monday morning commute, so for
those who start their commute early, take extra caution while
driving through any fog.

Otherwise, another pleasant day is on tap for today. Winds remain
light and out of the N. Temperatures warm back into the upper 70s
to low 80s. Tuesday brings much of the same as our fall like
weather sticks around. That said, we are running a few degrees
above normal for this time of year. For reference, Nashville BNA`s
normal high temperature for this time of year is 75 degrees. With
BNA seeing around 80 degrees these past few days, that puts us
around 5 degrees above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 558 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Temperatures climb into the mid 80s by the mid-week as our axis of
high pressure moves directly overhead. Otherwise, dry weather
remains, making for quiet weather through the end of the week.
Come this weekend, we are still watching for a mid-level low and
associated trough to swing through the Ohio River Valley. This
will bring rain chances back to the forecast through the weekend.
Today`s model runs have shifted the trough a little further north
and east from previous runs, so it is hard to say for certain what
impacts this will bring to Middle TN at this time. That said, the
pattern is favorable for decent rainfall chances Saturday night
into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Patchy fog will impact all terminals except BNA. Tempo groups
have been included for LIFR to MVFR vsbys before 14Z. Otherwise,
VFR with NNE winds 5 to 8KT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      80  54  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    80  52  81  53 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     72  49  73  48 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       79  52  80  52 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     74  49  75  50 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      72  49  73  48 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   77  50  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   78  51  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        78  52  79  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....13