221
FXUS64 KOHX 211126
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
626 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 615 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

- Near normal temperatures through late week and into the weekend.

- Mostly dry weather through the end of the week with showers and
  thunderstorms returning Saturday. Highest chances E of I-65.

- Below normal temperatures next week with much drier air.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday Night)
Issued at 1038 PM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Thursday brings drying conditions and near normal temperatures
back over Middle TN. With TN being situated between high pressure
to the west and low pressure to the east, northerly flow will
bring lower dewpoints and a drier airmass over the area. High
temperatures climb into the upper 80s today, but dewpoints will be
much more bearable, in the upper 60s. Overnight, lows drop into
the upper 60s. Overall, a very pleasant day.

Friday looks to be much of the same but with slightly warmer
temperatures, with some areas seeing low 90s. Once again though,
dewpoints will be manageable, around 70 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1038 PM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Rain chances return Saturday afternoon, mainly east of I-65 as an
inverted surface trough develops over the Cumberland Plateau.
Overall, no severe weather is expected, just some scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Sunday, a cold front brings in much
cooler and drier air through next week. Temperatures drop well
below normal with lows mostly in the 50s (some 40s Plateau) and
highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Some may call this our first look
at "False Fall."

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

IFR cigs are moving across east TN this morning, currently
impacting CSV and SRB. Current satellite trends keep these clouds
just east of BNA and MQY. With that, have maintained VFR
thresholds for those terminals, though passing low clouds will be
possible. If these clouds expand west, an amendment may be made
this morning. Clouds look to lift early this afternoon. Winds will
be out of the north through the period with sustained 8-10 kts
and occasional gusts to 15 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      88  69  91  72 /   0   0  20  10
Clarksville    87  66  91  67 /   0   0  10   0
Crossville     81  64  84  66 /   0   0  50  20
Columbia       88  67  91  69 /   0   0  20  10
Cookeville     83  64  87  68 /   0   0  30  10
Jamestown      82  64  86  67 /   0   0  30  10
Lawrenceburg   85  66  89  68 /   0   0  30  10
Murfreesboro   88  67  91  70 /   0   0  30  10
Waverly        85  65  89  68 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....Baggett