312
FXUS64 KOHX 060017
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
717 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 710 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

After a very warm day, it is a pleasant evening with clear skies
and temps mainly in the 70s. By daybreak, temps will be in the
upper 50s to lower 60s.The only notable wx overnight will be
areas of fog with greatest coverage and visibility impacts across
the south half and Plateau where some pockets of dense fog will
form.

After early morning fog lifts, Sunday will be very similar to
today. A cold front is expected Sunday night, bringing much more
seasonable temperatures.

No significant updates were needed this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1044 AM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

Surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes is the
dominant feature affecting Middle Tennessee`s weather today, and
high pressure is also starting to build in aloft following
yesterday`s shortwave passage. Temperatures today are once again
rather summerlike, and tomorrow will likely be a degree or two
warmer, putting us close to daily record values. This is quite
remarkable given the absence of any meaningful return flow at the
surface. But our October rendezvous with summer will come to an
abrupt end after tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1044 AM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

A dry cold front is poised to sweep across Middle Tennessee Sunday
night. Although we aren`t expecting any precipitation with the
front, temperatures will drop considerably starting on Monday,
with Octoberish weather lasting throughout next week and weekend.
The forecast is free of rain for at least the next 7 days, and
even a little bit beyond, as the next rain-producing system
doesn`t look to affect the mid state until early the following
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

Clear skies and light winds are expected through the TAF period,
with another round of IFR to LIFR fog, with VIS maybe slightly
better tonight in the 06Z to around 13-14Z time frame. After
sunrise winds will still be light but becoming more southwesterly
then westerly throughout the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  89  56  75 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    62  89  50  73 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     56  82  52  71 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       61  88  55  75 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     60  83  53  71 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      58  82  52  69 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   61  87  56  74 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   62  88  56  74 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        63  88  53  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......13
SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....05