Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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965
FXUS64 KOHX 120514
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1214 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1208 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

- Dry through the forecast period.

- Hot days with seasonable nights. Generally comfortable humidity
  levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025

The weak shortwave, humidity, and instability that set off
isolated showers and storms Thursday afternoon and evening was
sinking southward and will be replaced by drier air with a
surface high pressure system from the north. The main controlling
wx feature this weekend and beyond will be a strong upper level
ridge axis over the center of the nation that will gradually move
east.

Friday will begin with mainly clear skies and areas of fog,
especially south of I-40 and in areas where rain fell yesterday.
The daytime will bring plenty of sunshine and very warm
temperatures reaching the mid 80s to lower 90s. Humidity will be
noticeably lower than Thursday, and humidity levels will stay
comfortable for the foreseeable future.

The dry air will allow nights to cool off nicely. Friday night`s
lows will be in the 50s to lower 60s. Full sunshine will heat
things up a little more for Saturday as the upper level ridge axis
moves closer.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025

Hot days and seasonable nights will be the rule next week as the
big upper level ridge axis moves east and sets up from the Great
Lakes to the Gulf Coast. Highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s will be
common with lows in the 60s. Toward the end of next week the
upper level ridge will start to flatten and that will bring slight
cooling, but still above normal, especially during the daytimes.
Extended outlooks from CPC show warmer than normal temps and low
rainfall likely to continue through the end of the month.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025

The only significant wx concern for this taf cycle will be fog.
CSV, SRB, and MQY will have periods of MVFR vsby through 13Z. CSV
and SRB may have brief periods of IFR/LIFR with patches of
shallow dense fog. Otherwise, VFR conditions with light northeast
winds will prevail at all sites daytime Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      91  62  92  62 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    93  60  94  62 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     81  54  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       90  59  91  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     83  57  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      82  56  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   88  58  89  57 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   89  59  90  59 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        91  61  92  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....13