259
FXUS64 KOHX 071122
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
522 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 143 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

A frontal boundary bisects Middle Tennessee this morning, and it
hasn`t moved a great deal during the past 24 hours. Widely
scattered showers continue to form primarily on the cool side of
the boundary. The HRRR really doesn`t give us a great deal of
activity for the rest of the day, mainly a continuation of the
scattered showers that we`ve already been experiencing. There may
be a thunderstorm or two mixed in with the day`s activity, but
instability is quite weak -- much weaker than yesterday`s. The
surface boundary will eventually come though the mid state, so we
can expect rain-free weather tonight and Friday, along with
nominally cooler temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 143 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

Rain chances return to the forecast this weekend as the next low
pressure system brings widespread active weather to Middle
Tennessee. QPF resulting from this system is somewhat robust, with
most locations expecting 1-2" Saturday through Sunday night.
Afterwards, much of next week looks to be dry. A mid-week cold
front should bring another round of showers, and this one looks to
finally usher in more fall-like temperatures toward the end of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Thu Nov 7 2024

Mainly MVFR conditions for this TAF cycle as a weak boundary
across the area keeps Middle TN socked in. Some improvement is
possible this afternoon, however, IFR cigs and vis will likely
return after 02Z/Fri, especially at SRB/CSV.

Winds will less than 10 kts out of the north.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      73  57  74  52 /  40  10   0   0
Clarksville    68  51  70  48 /  50  10   0  10
Crossville     75  56  72  47 /  30  10   0   0
Columbia       76  57  74  50 /  30  10   0  10
Cookeville     74  57  71  49 /  40  10   0   0
Jamestown      73  55  69  47 /  40  10   0   0
Lawrenceburg   76  57  75  50 /  20  10   0  10
Murfreesboro   76  58  74  50 /  30  10   0   0
Waverly        68  53  70  50 /  50  10   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Unger