225
FXUS64 KOHX 131732
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1232 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1229 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

- Rain chances return to the forecast next weekend. Probabilities for
  hazardous weather are uncertain at this time.

- Temperatures will be above normal through the week, peaking in
  the mid 80s on the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Currently, it is a lovely, clear Monday here in the mid-state. Highs
will top out in the upper 70s to low 80s today, with possibly a few
high clouds eeking in towards the evening hours. Tuesday will be
very similar to today, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s west
of the Cumberland Plateau, whereas elevated locations will see low
to mid 70s. Temperatures will continue to warm into the work week
thanks to High Pressure, so unfortunately we won`t be getting any
closer to fall-like temperatures except in the mornings.&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Dry weather through the work week because of the aforementioned high
pressure system lingering over us. That high pressure will flatten
into the weekend, leaving us vulnerable to a trough moving in from
the west. This trough appears to be of decent strength in the
extended guidance, but it is too soon to say whether we will see any
hazardous weather because of it. The strength and position of the
trough continues to shift with subsequent runs of guidance, as it
typically does at this time frame. Precipitation does seem possible
on Saturday and Sunday due to the trough, which will bring an end to
our dry stretch. As always, we will continue to monitor model trends
as we get closer to next weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Dry weather through the work week because of the aforementioned high
pressure system lingering over us. That high pressure will flatten
into the weekend, leaving us vulnerable to a trough moving in from
the west. This trough appears to be of decent strength in the
extended guidance, but it is too soon to say whether we will see any
hazardous weather because of it. The strength and position of the
trough continues to shift with subsequent runs of guidance, as it
typically does at this time frame. Precipitation does seem possible
on Saturday and Sunday due to the trough, which will bring an end to
our dry stretch. As always, we will continue to monitor model trends
as we get closer to next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

VFR conditions prevail across Middle TN airfields this afternoon
with N to NE winds 5-8 kts. Patchy fog is possible overnight, but
lack confidence to mention any IFR in TAFs at this time. No fog is
expected at BNA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      54  81  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    53  82  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     49  73  48  74 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       52  80  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     49  75  50  76 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      49  72  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   50  78  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   51  80  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        53  79  52  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Sizemore