Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
173
FNUS73 KOAX 171151
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for bullhead...USFWS
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
651 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Most of the day will be dry, but thunderstorms could move into the
area by this evening. Some high level cirrus early this morning,
and there is a chance that some low cloud cloud still develop this
morning, then becoming mostly sunny for the afternoon. Southerly
winds increase to 15 to 25 mph, and could gust up to 35 mph
through morning, but may diminish a bit as we head into the
afternoon. Minimum humidity drops to 40-45 percent. Once the
storms move through early this evening, winds will shift to the
north late this evening.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 35 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 40%
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 13 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 29 mph decreasing to 18 to 20 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (52500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (78700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................5.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88 83 91 93 89 87 79 87
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
Temp............68 72 74 76 78 81 82 83
RH..............65 59 55 54 50 46 46 43
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..16 15 14 14 13 13 12 10
20 FT wind gust.24 23 21 18 18 18 17 14
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S S S S
Eye lvl wnd spd.12 11 11 11 10 10 9 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.18 17 16 14 13 13 13 10
Surface wnd dir.S S S S S S S S
Surface wnd spd.20 19 18 18 16 16 15 13
Surface wnd gst.30 29 26 23 22 22 21 17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.29 26 23 22 21 20 18 20
GFDI............6 6 6 5 5 6 5 4
SDspl kt-ft/100074 79 77 74 77 78 73 53
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the north 8
to 11 mph with gusts to around 18 mph in the
late evening and overnight.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 11 mph shifting to the east
10 to 11 mph early in the evening, then
shifting to the north 13 to 19 mph with gusts
to around 30 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast 9 to 10 mph early in the evening,
then shifting to the north 12 to 16 mph with
gusts to around 24 mph in the late evening and
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph shifting to the north 13 to
21 mph early in the evening, then increasing to
23 to 28 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36400 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................3.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87 77 67 57 48 49 50 52 58 63 69 75
Weather cov.....CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............82 79 73 68 64 62 59 56 54 53 51 49
RH..............46 49 57 61 65 65 72 74 77 80 83 83
20 FT wind dir..S SE E NE N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..9 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.11 10 13 18 21 23 24 24 24 24 24 23
Eye lvl wnd dir.S SE E NE N N N N N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.7 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 8 10 13 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 17
Surface wnd dir.S SE E NE N N N N N N N N
Surface wnd spd.11 10 11 13 15 16 18 18 19 19 19 19
Surface wnd gst.14 13 16 22 26 29 30 30 30 30 30 29
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8
Transp wind dir.S S N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.17 12 13 20 21 23 24 25 28 25 25 25
GFDI............3 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100028 8 4 7 14 18 23 28 32 35 36 34
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning, then slight
chance of rain showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around
18 mph.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 16 to 20 mph with gusts to around
30 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to around
24 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (69300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................4.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81 87 85 84 82 80 77 75 77 79 81 80
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............49 48 47 48 50 52 54 55 56 57 58 58
RH..............80 80 83 80 71 66 59 57 53 51 47 45
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..14 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 15 15 14 13
20 FT wind gust.22 21 22 23 24 23 22 21 21 21 20 19
Eye lvl wnd dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 10
Eye lvl wnd gst.17 16 17 17 18 17 17 16 16 16 15 14
Surface wnd dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Surface wnd spd.18 18 19 19 20 20 20 20 19 19 18 16
Surface wnd gst.28 26 28 29 30 29 28 26 26 26 25 24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.24 23 23 24 26 25 25 24 21 20 21 22
GFDI............3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100031 31 38 49 58 64 67 69 69 68 67 67
$$
Forecaster...NWS Omaha/Valley
Requested by...Sam Vanourney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510840.0/OAX
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sam_vanourney@fws.gov