Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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859
FNUS73 KOAX 271950
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for 554th Avenue Grass Fire...Stanton County Emergency Management
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
250 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on March 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Southeast winds will persist into this evening with speeds
generally around 10 mph, though could see gusts approach 20 mph at
times this afternoon. RH should bottom out around 37 percent this
afternoon and recover into the 60s this evening and 70s overnight.
Smoke dispersal will remain good through the afternoon, but will
become worse as we go later into the evening given the lighter
winds.

Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 25 mph

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 30 percent

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (49400 knot-ft).
GFDI................8.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  74  75
RH..............37  39  42
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   11
20 FT wind gust.10  12  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   7   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   9   12
Surface wnd dir.E   E   SE
Surface wnd spd.10  11  14
Surface wnd gst.12  15  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.7 3.8
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  17  18
GFDI............7   9   9
SDspl kt-ft/100049  56  50

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around 14
                    mph overnight.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds around 14 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 11 to 15 mph with gusts to around 23
                    mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 13 mph with gusts to around 18
                    mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 16 to 21 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................6.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   7   4   5   4   4   12  11  12  3   13  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............76  74  70  64  61  59  59  59  58  57  57  57
RH..............40  46  51  62  69  74  76  76  76  74  68  65
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..11  11  10  9   8   8   8   8   9   10  11  12
20 FT wind gust.16  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  14  16  18  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   9
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  13  14
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.14  14  13  11  10  10  10  10  11  13  14  15
Surface wnd gst.20  18  17  17  16  16  16  16  17  20  22  23
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  15  13  13  13  14  13  13  16  18  20  21
GFDI............9   7   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   6
SDspl kt-ft/100038  25  16  10  5   4   4   5   6   8   9   8

$$
Forecaster...CA
Requested by...Mike Frohberg
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508254.0/OAX
.DELDT 03/27/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Stantonema@stantoncountyne.gov