Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Versions:
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FNUS73 KOAX 271511
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Otoe Prairie - Wilderness Park...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1011 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on September 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds at ignition time will be out of the northeast at 7 mph with
speeds increasing to 10 mph (gusts of 12-16 mph possible) through
this afternoon. Winds will calm to 2-5 mph overnight before
gradually shifting counterclockwise to northwesterly. Relative
humidity values in the 31 to 35 percent range will continue
through the afternoon before recovering to the 60 to 80 percent
range overnight. Afternoon mixing heights of 4250 to 4750 feet
will bring good smoke dispersion. Weather conditions will remain
clear with mostly sunny skies, above average temperatures and no
precipitation chances.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 16 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 31 percent
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 6 mph.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 6 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (66900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 3 4 5 7 8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............77 81 82 83 84 83
RH..............45 38 35 33 32 33
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 7 8 7
20 FT wind gust.7 8 10 10 11 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE NE N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 5 5 6 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 6 7 8 8 8
Surface wnd dir.NE NE NE N N N
Surface wnd spd.6 8 9 9 10 9
Surface wnd gst.9 10 12 13 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.7
Transp wind dir.NE NE N N N N
Transp wind spd.12 13 14 15 15 15
GFDI............1 2 3 3 3 3
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100036 51 61 67 64 48
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 4 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 6 to 8 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11 7 12 9 19 18 20 23 28 29 32 27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............82 79 75 71 68 66 64 63 62 60 58 58
RH..............32 36 43 51 57 61 63 67 70 72 76 76
20 FT wind dir..N NE N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.8 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.N NE N N N N N N N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.6 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
Surface wnd dir.N NE N N N N N N N N N N
Surface wnd spd.8 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
Surface wnd gst.10 8 7 7 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.N N N NE NE NE NE NE N N N N
Transp wind spd.15 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
GFDI............2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100026 7 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 8 mph.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 6 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 17 mph increasing to 16 to 18 mph in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (82900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21 15 15 13 12 11 14 18 20 19 17 13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58 56 58 62 69 74 78 82 85 86 87 86
RH..............79 82 82 73 61 51 44 40 35 32 31 30
20 FT wind dir..NW N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 13
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 6 7 8 8 8 8 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 11 11 10 10
Surface wnd dir.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
Surface wnd spd.6 6 6 8 8 10 11 13 13 13 13 11
Surface wnd gst.8 8 9 10 13 15 16 17 18 18 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.2 4.6 4.9 4.9 3.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.9 8 10 15 15 17 17 18 18 18 18 16
GFDI............1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 5 5
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10003 4 6 11 19 35 52 67 78 83 78 57
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Wood
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423134.0/OAX
.DELDT 09/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adruery@lincoln.ne.gov