Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
674
FNUS73 KOAX 181558
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Hickory Prairie - Wilderness Park...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1058 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Quiet and dry conditions for Saturday. Winds will be on the
lighter side and generally out of the northeast around 5 to 10 mph
with occasional gusts up to 15 mph. Winds becomes more easterly
late in the day. RH values through the peak heating hours will
drop into the mid 20 percent range, then begin to steadily recover
as temperatures cool through the evening.
Rain chances steadily ramp up Saturday night with widespread rain
showers expected Sunday.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 15 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 25%
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 9 to 11 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (54700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (70600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................3.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24 26 29 31 34 37 40 34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49 52 55 57 59 61 61 61
RH..............44 38 33 30 28 26 26 26
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..8 9 9 9 8 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.13 13 12 12 11 11 11 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.6 7 7 7 6 6 6 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8
Surface wnd dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Surface wnd spd.10 11 11 11 10 10 10 9
Surface wnd gst.16 16 15 15 14 14 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.5 4.8 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.6
Transp wind dir.NE N N NE NE NE E E
Transp wind spd.17 18 16 15 14 13 13 14
GFDI............2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2
SDspl kt-ft/100055 64 69 71 68 64 61 67
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 7 mph.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 8 to 11 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (72700 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (3700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................3.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31 30 37 44 51 56 61 66 71 77 82 84
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............61 59 56 53 50 49 48 48 47 47 46 45
RH..............26 28 32 38 43 46 49 50 51 54 56 60
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT wind gust.14 13 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.7 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8
Surface wnd dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Surface wnd spd.11 11 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9
Surface wnd gst.17 16 15 14 13 12 12 12 12 12 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 4.8 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.16 17 16 15 14 14 14 14 15 17 18 20
GFDI............4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SDspl kt-ft/100073 71 52 27 7 4 8 15 18 21 24 26
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning, then rain
showers likely in the morning. Rain showers in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 9 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 20 mph shifting to the north 20
to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (27200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (37800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85 87 88 88 89 89 89 89 89 89 89 89
Weather cov.....SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............44 43 44 45 46 47 49 50 51 51 52 52
RH..............65 69 71 74 73 76 75 75 72 70 69 68
20 FT wind dir..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N
20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 16 15
20 FT wind gust.11 12 13 14 17 18 19 20 21 22 22 21
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11 12 12 11
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 9 10 11 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 16
Surface wnd dir.E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N
Surface wnd spd.9 10 11 13 14 15 16 18 19 20 20 19
Surface wnd gst.14 15 16 18 21 23 24 25 26 28 28 26
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2
Transp wind dir.E E NE NE NE NE N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.20 20 18 18 17 17 18 20 21 21 21 20
GFDI............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3
SDspl kt-ft/100028 29 29 28 27 28 29 30 33 36 38 37
$$
Forecaster...NWS Omaha/Valley
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511020.0/OAX
.DELDT 04/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adruery@lincoln.ne.gov